Match Info

Serie B - Round 37

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio San Nicola (Bari)

Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
World	FIFA+


	Bari		Pisa

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.7	2.7	Watch
	3.4	2.65	2.45
	2.95	2.75	2.75	Watch
	3.24	2.72	2.71
	2.94	2.69	2.84	Watch
	3.26	2.59	2.79	Watch
	2.95	2.75	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (3.05)	2.69 ↓ (3.12)	2.71 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bari
30.2%

Draw
35%

Pisa
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

30%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

30.1%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	75%	8.3%

Bari - Pisa Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Pisa will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Pisa (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Radunovic B. (G) 25. Pucino R. 23. Vicari F. 3. Mantovani V. 7. Oliveri A. 4. Maita M. 8. Benali A. 93. Dorval M. 55. Obaretin N. 15. Lasagna K. 11. Bonfanti N.	47. Semper A. (G) 5. Canestrelli S. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 94. Bonfanti G. 15. Toure I. 6. Marin M. 28. Abildgaard O. 66. Sernicola L. 32. Moreo S. 11. Tramoni M. 14. Meister H.
Substitutes
10. Bellomo N. 19. Falletti C. 27. Favasuli C. 28. Lella N. 21. Maggiore G. 17. Maiello R. 45. Marfella D. (G) 9. Novakovich A. 20. Pereiro G. 22. Pissardo M. (G) 94. Saco C. 13. Tripaldelli A.	3. Angori S. 30. Arena A. 33. Calabresi A. 27. Castellini A. 8. Hojholt M. 45. Lind A. 22. Loria L. (G) 80. Morutan O. 1. Nicolas Andrade (G) 36. Piccinini G. 17. Rus A. 21. Solbakken M.
Coaches
Longo M.	Inzaghi F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Bonfanti N. ⚽, Pucino R. (A),
43', Maita M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sernicola L. ↓, Angori S. ↑,
46', Abildgaard O. ↓, Piccinini G. ↑,
56', Radunovic B. 🟨,
59', Benali A. 🟨,
64', Oliveri A. ↓, Favasuli C. ↑,
64', Benali A. ↓, Lella N. ↑,
65', Bonfanti N. ↓, Maggiore G. ↑,
65', Meister H. ↓, Lind A. ↑,
67', Favasuli C. 🟨,
73', Toure I. 🟨,
74', Toure I. ↓, Morutan O. ↑,
78', Bonfanti G. ↓, Arena A. ↑,
79', Lasagna K. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
87', Maita M. ↓, Bellomo N. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bari won 1.

Bari has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pisa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pisa might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Bari: Favilli A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Pisa: Esteves T. (Tendon Injury) Leris M. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bari won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bari won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
01.05.25	Nuova Cosenza - Bari	1:0 ✺
25.04.25	Bari - Modena	1:2 ✺
11.04.25	Bari - Palermo	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Catanzaro - Bari	3:3 ✺
30.03.25	Carrarese - Bari	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWTL
- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
01.05.25	Pisa - Frosinone	1:0 ✺
25.04.25	Brescia - Pisa	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Reggiana - Pisa	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Pisa - Modena	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Nuova Cosenza - Pisa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
13.12.24	Pisa - Bari	2:0
20.04.24	Bari - Pisa	1:1
16.09.23	Pisa - Bari	1:1
23.04.23	Pisa - Bari	1:2
04.12.22	Bari - Pisa	0:0
Club Friendly
24.07.19	Pisa - Bari	2:4
Italian Serie B
29.04.17	Bari - Pisa	0:0

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