Match Info

Date: 17 July 2020, Friday


	Pisa		Trapani

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.85
	2.65	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.55	3.05	2.7
	2.68	3.22	2.81
	2.62	3.1	2.8
	2.71	3.02	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.26)	3.1 ↓ (3.15)	2.8 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pisa
36%

Draw
30.4%

Trapani
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29.8%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

21.7%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pisa's form might have worsened.

Trapani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trapani's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+21.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pisa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trapani than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trapani, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.2%	25%	31.8%

Pisa - Trapani Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 19 - 43.2%). Trapani will win (votes: 14 - 31.8%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pisa: 28.6% – 57.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
13.07.20	Virtus Entella - Pisa	1:1 ✺
10.07.20	Pordenone - Pisa	1:0 ✺
03.07.20	Pisa - Cittadella	2:0 ✺
29.06.20	Spezia - Pisa	1:2 ✺
26.06.20	Pisa - Pescara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 TLWWW
- Trapani Calcio
Italian Serie B
13.07.20	Trapani - Benevento	2:0 ✺
10.07.20	Chievo - Trapani	1:1 ✺
03.07.20	Trapani - Livorno	2:1 ✺
29.06.20	Nuova Cosenza - Trapani	2:2 ✺
26.06.20	Trapani - Pordenone	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
16.12.19	Trapani - Pisa	1:3
22.04.17	Trapani - Pisa	1:0
26.11.16	Pisa - Trapani	1:0

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