The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pisa 53.6%
Draw 27.6%
Cittadella 18.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.2%
26.5%
18.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.3%
25.5%
17.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
64.7%
11.8%
23.5%
Pisa - Cittadella Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Cittadella will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Pisa: 42% โ 87.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Rus A. 🟨,
30', Capradossi E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rus A. ↓, Calabresi A. ↑,
62', Okwonkwo O. ↓, Rabbi S. ↑,
65', Tessiore A. 🟨,
69', Morutan O. ↓, Meister H. ↑,
69', Tessiore A. ↓, Palmieri R. ↑,
78', Lind A. ↓, Arena A. ↑,
78', Piccinini G. ↓, Solbakken M. ↑,
78', Amatucci F. ↓, Tronchin S. ↑,
83', 0 - 1, Pandolfi L. ⚽, Tronchin S. (A),
83', Pandolfi L. 🟨,
85', Caracciolo Ant. ↓, Vignato E. ↑,
Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 15).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Pisa won 2.
Pisa in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Cittadella is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Pisa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Pisa is a favorite.
There will not play in Pisa: Caracciolo Ant.
(Yellow Cards)
Toure I.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Cittadella: Angeli M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Djibril A.
(Injury)
Kastrati E.
(Back Injury)
Negro S.
(Injury)
Pavan N.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Pisa: Esteves T.
(Tendon Injury)
Leris M.
(Injury)
Our prediction for today's Pisa to win the game is with odds 1.71.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Pisa won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14:22 (average 1.1:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Pisa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:11 (average 1.3:1.8).
Italy
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