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Current Win Probability
Pordenone 22.3%
Draw 28.8%
Pisa 48.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.4%
29%
48.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.4%
22.6%
62.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pordenone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pisa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pordenone - Pisa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Pordenone has the most likely position - 20 (75.56%), has project points - 22, has currently - 12, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Pisa has the most likely position - 5 (15.17%), has project points - 64, has currently - 49, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (76%), has a chance of promoted (23%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
This event has small quality23, small importance21, small match rating22. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Pordenone won 0.
Pordenone has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Pisa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Pordenone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Pisa is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Pisa to win the game is with odds 1.96.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Pordenone won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Pordenone won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
Watch
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