The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Trapani 24.3%
Draw 27.5%
Benevento 48.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.2%
23.4%
62.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.9%
22.9%
63.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trapani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trapani's performance.
Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benevento might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trapani than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trapani that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+15.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benevento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
14.3%
71.4%
Trapani - Benevento Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Trapani will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Benevento will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Galeotti C. (G) 26. Kirwan N. 31. Pirrello R. 23. Motoc A. 30. Nicoli S. 8. Celeghin E. 74. Marcolini D. 7. Ortisi P. 14. Battimelli G. 33. Benedetti A. 77. Stauciuc B.
26. Vannucchi G. (G) 77. Pierozzi E. 14. Scognamillo S. 33. Caldirola L. 20. Ceresoli A. 38. Talia A. 8. Maita M. (C) 11. Lamesta D. 10. Manconi J. 7. Carfora L. 93. Tumminello M.
Substitutes
20. Aronica G. 27. Cozzoli F. 70. Forte R. 17. La Sorsa C. 10. Napolitano L. 4. Nina C. 2. Perri M. 71. Quiroz G. 22. Salamone S. (G) 1. Ujkaj E. (G) 5. Vimercati A. 92. Winkelmann T.
19. Borghini D. 13. Celia R. 99. Della Morte M. 22. Esposito M. (G) 28. Kouan C. 5. Mehic D. 32. Mignani G. 25. Romano R. 1. Russo D. (G) 23. Saio P. 9. Salvemini F. 3. Sena F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Tumminello M. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Manconi J. ⚽,
45', Benedetti A. 🟨,
45+4', Benedetti A. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Celeghin E. ↓, Nina C. ↑,
46', Knezovic B. ↓, Aronica G. ↑,
51', Nicoli S. 🟨,
53', Morelli G. 🟨,
54', Carfora L. ↓, Kouan C. ↑,
64', Matos ↓, Battimelli G. ↑,
67', 0 - 3, Tumminello M. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Manconi J. ↓, Mignani G. ↑,
71', Pierozzi E. ↓, Borghini D. ↑,
71', 0 - 4, Mignani G. ⚽,
72', Lamesta D. ↓, Della Morte M. ↑,
74', Maita M. ↓, Mehic D. ↑,
79', Stauciuc B. ↓, Ortisi P. ↑,
79', Morelli ↓, Perri M. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 5, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trapani won 2.
In recent matches, Trapani has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Benevento is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Trapani may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Benevento is seen as the favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Trapani won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Trapani won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).