Match Info

Serie A - Round 3

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa)

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
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Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
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Peru	Disney+
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Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
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Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
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Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Pisa		Udinese

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.7
	2.82	2.98	2.82	Watch
	2.85	3.11	2.77
	3.08	2.76	2.65	Watch
	2.88	3	2.5
	2.91	3.08	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (2.89)	3.02 ↓ (3.13)	2.73 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pisa
33.3%

Draw
31.6%

Udinese
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

30.6%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

31.4%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	35%	50%

Pisa - Udinese Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Udinese will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Udinese: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Pisa (votes: 2 - 20%). Udinese (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Udinese (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Pisa (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Pisa (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Pisa (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Udinese (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Semper A. (G) 5. Canestrelli S. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 47. Mateus Lusuardi 15. Toure I. 14. Akinsanmiro E. 20. Aebischer M. 10. Tramoni M. 3. Angori S. 32. Moreo S. 9. Meister H.	90. Sava R. (G) 13. Bertola N. 31. Kristensen T. 28. Solet O. 19. Ehizibue K. 14. Atta A. 8. Karlstrom J. (C) 24. Piotrowski J. 11. Kamara H. 17. Bravo I. 9. Davis K.
Substitutes
39. Albiol R. 94. Bonfanti G. 33. Calabresi A. 44. Denoon D. 19. Esteves T. 8. Hojholt M. 7. Leris M. 99. Lorran 6. Marin M. 12. Nicolas Andrade (G) 18. Nzola M. 36. Piccinini G. 22. Scuffet S. (G) 23. Stengs C. 21. Vural I.	18. Buksa A. 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 2. Goglichidze S. 27. Kabasele C. 38. Miller L. 77. Modesto R. 1. Nunziante A. (G) 16. Palma M. 41. Venuti G. (G) 10. Zaniolo N. 59. Zanoli A. 6. Zarraga O. 33. Zemura J.
Coaches
Gilardino A.	Runjaic K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Caracciolo Ant. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Bravo I. ⚽,
18', Kamara H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Moreo S. ↓, Nzola M. ↑,
46', Angori S. ↓, Leris M. ↑,
46', Mateus Lusuardi ↓, Bonfanti G. ↑,
61', Piotrowski J. ↓, Zarraga O. ↑,
61', Davis K. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
61', Bravo I. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,
75', Kamara H. ↓, Zemura J. ↑,
75', Bertola N. ↓, Goglichidze S. ↑,
86', Aebischer M. ↓, Piccinini G. ↑,
86', Tramoni M. ↓, Stengs C. ↑,
90+2', Karlstrom J. 🟨,

Preview

Pisa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Udinese is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pisa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Pisa has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Pisa: Esteves T. (Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Udinese: Bayo V. (Knee Injury) Okoye M. (Suspended) Padelli D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Pisa: Vural I. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Udinese: Lovric S. (Calf Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie A
30.08.25	Pisa - Roma	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Atalanta - Pisa	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
17.08.25	Cesena - Pisa	0:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.25	Pistoiese - Pisa	1:1 ✺
08.08.25	Augsburg - Pisa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LTWTT
- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
31.08.25	Inter Milan - Udinese	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Udinese - Verona	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
18.08.25	Udinese - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Werder Bremen - Udinese	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Werder Bremen - Udinese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 WTWWW

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