Match Info

Serie B - Round 13

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio dei Marmi (Carrara)

Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Carrarese		Reggiana

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.3	4.33	Watch
	1.88	3.35	4.05
	1.99	3.45	4.24
	1.91	3.33	4.05	Watch
	1.91	3.3	4.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.93)	3.35 ↓ (3.38)	4.17 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
49.3%

Draw
28.1%

Reggiana
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

27.8%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.8%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Carrarese - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carrarese: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Carrarese (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25, 1st Half - Carrarese (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Carrarese (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bleve M. (G) 37. Calabrese N. 4. Illanes J. 3. Imperiale M. (C) 72. Zanon S. 17. Zuelli E. 18. Schiavi N. 11. Cicconi M. 21. Rubino T. 32. Finotto M. 9. Abiuso F.	1. Motta E. (G) 2. Papetti A. 96. Magnani G. 43. Bonetti S. 23. Rover M. 8. Charlys 26. Bertagnoli M. 3. Bozzolan A. 90. Portanova M. (C) 80. Girma N. 9. Novakovich A.
Substitutes
7. Belloni N. 13. Bouah D. 10. Bozhanaj K. 28. Di Stefano F. 99. Fiorillo V. (G) 70. Hasa L. 8. Melegoni F. 6. Oliana F. 77. Parlanti G. 5. Salamon B. 44. Sekulov N. 92. Torregrossa E.	11. Gondo C. 93. Lambourde M. 17. Libutti L. 7. Marras M. 44. Mendicino L. 14. Quaranta D. 16. Reinhart T. 4. Rozzio P. 21. Saro G. (G) 5. Stulac L. 10. Tavsan E. 6. Vallarelli F.
Coaches
Calabro A.	Dionigi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Rover M. 🟨,
35', Girma N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Illanes J. ↓, Oliana F. ↑,
46', Papetti A. 🟨,
52', Bertagnoli M. 🟨,
58', Magnani G. 🟨,
58', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Reinhart T. ↑,
61', Abiuso F. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
67', Girma N. ↓, Tavsan E. ↑,
67', Rover M. ↓, Libutti L. ↑,
69', Rubino T. 🟨,
72', Zuelli E. ↓, Hasa L. ↑,
73', Rubino T. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
77', Portanova M. ↓, Vallarelli F. ↑,
77', Novakovich A. ↓, Gondo C. ↑,
80', Calabrese N. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Carrarese is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Carrarese: Hasa L. (Inactive) Mazzini S. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Reggiana: Quaranta D. (Hamstring Injury) Reinhart T. (Injury) Rozzio P. (Calf Injury) Sampirisi M. (Knee Injury) Seculin A. (Health problems) Urso O. (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
08.11.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Carrarese - Frosinone	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Cesena - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Carrarese - Venezia	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	Pescara - Carrarese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLLWT
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
08.11.25	Reggiana - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Avellino - Reggiana	4:3 ✺
28.10.25	Reggiana - Modena	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Monza - Reggiana	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Reggiana - Bari	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
22.02.25	Reggiana - Carrarese	2:2
28.09.24	Carrarese - Reggiana	0:0
Italian Serie C Group B
26.02.23	Reggiana - Carrarese	0:0
24.10.22	Carrarese - Reggiana	1:1
06.02.22	Carrarese - Reggiana	1:1
28.09.21	Reggiana - Carrarese	3:0
12.04.15	Reggiana - Carrarese	3:0

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