The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Novara 38.7%
Draw 30%
Lecco 31.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.4%
29.6%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.3%
31.5%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Novara's form might have worsened.
Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lecco's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Novara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lecco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
33.3%
16.7%
Novara - Lecco Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Novara will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Lecco will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Boseggia E. (G) 6. Citi A. 26. Lorenzini F. (C) 15. Khailoti O. 72. Agyemang G. 99. Basso G. 8. Di Cosmo L. 10. Donadio C. 17. Dell'Erba D. 20. da Graca C. 9. Alberti T.
1. Furlan J. (G) 41. Romani L. 18. Tanco G. J. 13. Battistini M. (C) 80. Kritta M. 21. Metlika A. 5. Zanellato N. 6. Mallamo A. 10. Furrer G. 26. Frigerio M. R. 25. Sipos L.
Substitutes
32. Andreotti R. (G) 36. Arboscello R. 65. Cortese A. 71. D'Alessio L. 27. Deseri G. 7. Lanini E. 3. Lartey S. 11. Ledonne N. 4. Malaspina M. 90. Perini G. 31. Rabuffetti L. 16. Raffaelli M. (G) 21. Ranieri R. 70. Valdesi A.
9. Alaoui A. 78. Anastasini J. 14. Bonaiti S. 90. Constant G. (G) 22. Dalmasso J. (G) 11. Galeandro A. 7. Grassini D. 33. Lovisa N. 19. Ndongue F. 17. Pellegrino G. 45. Rizzo M. 8. Voltan D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
13', 🟨,
33', Khailoti O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Furrer G. 🟨,
71', 1 - 0, da Graca C. ⚽,
72', Frigerio M. R. ↓, Galeandro A. ↑,
73', Furrer G. ↓, Pellegrino G. ↑,
73', Battistini M. ↓, Rizzo M. ↑,
74', Alberti T. 🟨,
82', Dell'Erba D. ↓, Valdesi A. ↑,
87', Zanellato N. ↓, Alaoui A. ↑,
87', Romani L. ↓, Ndongue F. ↑,
90+6', Agyemang G. ↓, D'Alessio L. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novara won 1.
Recent performances by Novara have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Lecco is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Novara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Novara could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Novara won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Novara won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
Italy
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Boseggia E. (G) 
Khailoti O. 
Dell'Erba D. 
Tanco G. J. 
Furrer G. 
Sipos L. 
Lartey S. 
Ndongue F. 
Pellegrino G. 
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