Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 30

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi (Lecco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Lecco		Renate

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	2.95	3
	2.28	2.92	3.15	Watch
	2.46	2.9	3.31
	2.38	2.82	3.2	Watch
	2.3	2.63	3.1
	2.36	2.74	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.81)	2.83 ↓ (3.39)	3.16 ↓ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
39%

Draw
32.2%

Renate
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

27.1%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

28.1%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lecco's form might have worsened.

Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Renate's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lecco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renate than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Renate, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Lecco - Renate Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Renate will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lecco (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Renate (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lecco (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Renate (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Furlan J. (G) 13. Battistini M. (C) 97. Duca E. 51. Konate I. 80. Kritta M. 4. Marrone L. 21. Metlika A. 99. Parker S. 17. Pellegrino G. 41. Romani L. 11. Urso O.	22. Nobile T. (G) 5. Auriletto S. (C) 17. Bonetti A. 14. Cali M. 11. Delcarro A. 2. De Zen R. 16. Ekuban J. 9. Karlsson O. 21. Riviera C. 25. Vassallo F. 80. Vesentini F.
Substitutes
78. Anastasini J. 14. Bonaiti S. 90. Constant G. (G) 22. Dalmasso J. (G) 16. Ferrini M. 10. Furrer G. 20. Mihali L. 19. Ndongue F. 73. Nova E. 45. Rizzo M. 8. Voltan D. 5. Zanellato N.	92. Anelli N. 12. Bartoccioni A. (G) 77. De Leo L. 8. Esposito G. 97. Fall M. 3. Gardoni P. 72. Mastromonaco G. 7. Muhameti E. 45. Nene S. 15. Ori R. 6. Rossi G. 71. Ruiz Giraldo P. 19. Ziu D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Romani L. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Delcarro A. ⚽,
37', Battistini M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Duca E. ↓, Zanellato N. ↑,
46', Kritta M. ↓, Rizzo M. ↑,
52', 0 - 2, Cali M. ⚽,
58', Pellegrino G. ↓, Bonaiti S. ↑,
58', Parker S. ↓, Furrer G. ↑,
61', Riviera C. 🟨,
72', Urso O. ↓, Ndongue F. ↑,
73', 0 - 3, Karlsson O. ⚽,
74', Karlsson O. ↓, Fall M. ↑,
74', Cali M. ↓, Ruiz Giraldo P. ↑,
79', Ekuban J. ↓, Anelli N. ↑,
83', Bonetti A. ↓, Muhameti E. ↑,
83', Vassallo F. ↓, Rossi G. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecco won 3.

Lecco has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Renate is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lecco is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lecco won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lecco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Lecco	8	2	3	3	6:8	-2	9
20	Renate	8	0	3	5	6:12	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
28.02.26	Brescia - Lecco	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Lecco - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Lecco - Virtus Verona	2:2 ✺
11.02.26	Giana Erminio - Lecco	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Lecco - Pro Vercelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTTWL
- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
28.02.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Renate	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Renate - Inter U23	2:1 ✺
16.02.26	Cittadella - Renate	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Renate - Triestina	4:0 ✺
08.02.26	Ospitaletto - Renate	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
25.10.25	Renate - Lecco	0:1
15.02.25	Renate - Lecco	1:0
04.10.24	Lecco - Renate	0:2
03.04.23	Renate - Lecco	0:2
30.11.22	Lecco - Renate	1:0
27.02.22	Renate - Lecco	2:3
21.10.21	Lecco - Renate	2:3

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