Match Info

Coppa Italia Serie D - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday


	Pistoiese		Vado

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.2	5
	1.62	3.35	5.15
	1.95	3.25	3.6
	1.72	3.36	4.79	Watch
	1.65	3.44	4.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.1)	3.32 ↑ (2.8)	4.7 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoiese
53.1%

Draw
27.5%

Vado
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

31.9%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

33.1%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pistoiese's performance.

Vado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vado might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pistoiese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vado than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vado could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pistoiese - Vado Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Pistoiese (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Pistoiese (2.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Pistoiese (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Rossi M. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, Rossi M. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 3 - 0, Diallo M. ⚽,

Preview

Pistoiese is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vado is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pistoiese could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie D - Group D
19.10.25	Pistoiese - Correggese	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Tuttocuoio - Pistoiese	0:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Tau Altopascio - Pistoiese	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
05.10.25	Pistoiese - Pro Palazzolo	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Piacenza - Pistoiese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWWTT
- FC Vado
Italian Serie D - Group A
19.10.25	Sestri Levante - Vado	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Vado - Club Milano	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Vado - Sestri Levante	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group A
05.10.25	Saluzzo - Vado	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Vado - Imperia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWTW

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