Match Info

Date: 22 December 2021, Wednesday


	Pistoiese		Olbia

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.75	2.55	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.6
	2.8	2.8	2.48
	3.1	2.77	2.45
	2.8	3	2.4
	2.88	3.1	2.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.81)	2.87 ↓ (3.2)	2.49 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoiese
31.9%

Draw
31.6%

Olbia
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

28.4%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

20.5%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Olbia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pistoiese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olbia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pistoiese - Olbia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Pistoiese is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Olbia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Pistoiese won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Pistoiese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie C Group B
19.12.21	Pistoiese - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
12.12.21	Pescara - Pistoiese	2:0 ✺
05.12.21	Pistoiese - Gubbio	2:3 ✺
28.11.21	Modena - Pistoiese	6:1 ✺
21.11.21	Pistoiese - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLLT
- US Olbia 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
19.12.21	Grosseto - Olbia	0:1 ✺
12.12.21	Olbia - Fermana	0:0 ✺
05.12.21	Vis Pesaro - Olbia	1:0 ✺
27.11.21	Olbia - Pontedera	2:0 ✺
20.11.21	Teramo - Olbia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
29.08.21	Olbia - Pistoiese	3:2
Italian Serie C Group A
31.03.21	Olbia - Pistoiese	1:0
15.11.20	Pistoiese - Olbia	1:2
23.02.20	Olbia - Pistoiese	1:0
06.10.19	Pistoiese - Olbia	2:1
23.03.19	Pistoiese - Olbia	1:3
25.11.18	Olbia - Pistoiese	1:1

Pistoiese - Olbia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide