Match Info

Date: 19 December 2021, Sunday


	Pistoiese		Lucchese

	1	X	2
	2.65	3	2.5	Watch
	2.65	3	2.5
	2.75	2.95	2.4
	2.92	2.97	2.42
	2.8	2.87	2.45
	2.82	3.18	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.74)	3 ↓ (3.14)	2.45 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoiese
32.8%

Draw
30.3%

Lucchese
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

29.4%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

21.1%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pistoiese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucchese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pistoiese - Lucchese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Pistoiese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Lucchese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pistoiese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Pistoiese won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Pistoiese won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie C Group B
12.12.21	Pescara - Pistoiese	2:0 ✺
05.12.21	Pistoiese - Gubbio	2:3 ✺
28.11.21	Modena - Pistoiese	6:1 ✺
21.11.21	Pistoiese - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
14.11.21	Fermana - Pistoiese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLTL
- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
15.12.21	Lucchese - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
12.12.21	Lucchese - Grosseto	0:0 ✺
28.11.21	Pescara - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
21.11.21	Lucchese - Siena	1:0 ✺
13.11.21	Gubbio - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
21.03.21	Lucchese - Pistoiese	1:0
29.11.20	Pistoiese - Lucchese	2:0
20.01.19	Lucchese - Pistoiese	1:0
23.09.18	Pistoiese - Lucchese	2:4
03.04.18	Lucchese - Pistoiese	1:1
15.10.17	Pistoiese - Lucchese	2:2
08.04.17	Pistoiese - Lucchese	1:1

Pistoiese - Lucchese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide