Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Trevigliese		Pistoiese

	1	X	2
	5.35	3.55	1.55
	4.55	3.69	1.66	Watch
	6.26	3.58	1.51
	5.4	3.5	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.39 ↑ (4.75)	3.58 ↓ (3.7)	1.58 (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trevigliese
16.9%

Draw
25.4%

Pistoiese
57.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.9%

24.3%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

23.4%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trevigliese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trevigliese than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Trevigliese - Pistoiese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Russo F. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Trevigliese is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pistoiese is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Pistoiese is the team to beat.

We predict that Pistoiese will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Trevigliese
Italian Serie D - Group D
02.11.25	Rovato Vertovese - Trevigliese	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Trevigliese - Imolese	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Cittadella Vis Modena - Trevigliese	3:1 ✺
12.10.25	Trevigliese - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Crema - Trevigliese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie D - Group D
02.11.25	Pistoiese - Lentigione	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Progresso - Pistoiese	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
22.10.25	Pistoiese - Vado	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
19.10.25	Pistoiese - Correggese	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Tuttocuoio - Pistoiese	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWTW

Trevigliese - Pistoiese

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Trevigliese - Pistoiese Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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