The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Imolese 22.3%
Draw 26.6%
Pistoiese 51.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.7%
27.6%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.1%
27.1%
40.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Imolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Imolese's form might have worsened.
Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pistoiese's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imolese than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Imolese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pistoiese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Imolese - Pistoiese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 0 - 1, Maldonado L. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Imolese won 1.
Imolese is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Pistoiese has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, Pistoiese is a strong favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Imolese won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Imolese won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
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