Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 20

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: LF Arena (Piteå)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Piteå		Karlberg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.90	3.40	2.10
	3.50	3.45	1.84
	2.80	3.68	2.23
	3.2	3.67	2.07	Watch
	2.75	3.60	2.20
	2.90	3.46	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (4.22)	3.54 ↓ (3.78)	2.1 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Piteå
30.5%

Draw
25.9%

Karlberg
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

23.9%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

23.6%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piteå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piteå's performance.

Karlberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karlberg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piteå than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piteå that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlberg than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karlberg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Piteå - Karlberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Eriksson F. (C) 21. Bergstrom H. 25. Hoeve Q. 24. Ingemarson A. 6. Jamehdar S. 10. Johansson F. 18. Johnson J. 5. Kavur B. 7. Muyenga A. 29. Naslund H. 19. Wikstrom I.	1. Gkoulios A. (G) 17. Aslund H. 4. Backman A. 14. Fati A. 25. Hogberg F. 9. Jamshidi A. 16. Jansson M. 18. Lalic M. 11. Mitku M. 2. Nieminen Eriksson F. 12. Sequar A. (C)
Substitutes
1. Adell T. (G) 8. Berglund C. 11. Bonilla J. 16. Brooks B. 14. Lundback J. 4. Oostra T. 17. Sulaiman K.	35. Bojang E. (G) 26. Carlsson E. 15. Hall V. 19. Jemal A. 21. Nilsson F. 24. Sietsema L. 3. Steen V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Johansson F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bergstrom H. ↓, Berglund C. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Hoeve Q. ⚽,
63', Lalic M. 🟨,
65', Jamshidi A. ↓, Jemal A. ↑,
65', Jansson M. ↓, Sietsema L. ↑,
67', Jamehdar S. ↓, Sulaiman K. ↑,
67', Naslund H. ↓, Brooks B. ↑,
67', Muyenga A. ↓, Lundback J. ↑,
72', 3 - 0, Brooks B. ⚽,
87', Hogberg F. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Piteå is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Karlberg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Karlberg will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Piteå won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Piteå won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Karlbergs	25	9	5	11	33:41	-8	32
14	Pitea	25	5	7	13	30:46	-16	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piteå IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
30.08.26	FBK Karlstad - Piteå	4:3 ✺
23.08.26	Hammarby TFF - Piteå	1:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
20.08.26	Piteå - AIK	0:3 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
16.08.26	Piteå - Vasalund	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Arlanda - Piteå	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 LTLTT
- Karlbergs BK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
31.08.26	Hammarby TFF - Karlberg	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Karlberg - AFC Eskilstuna	0:3 ✺
Svenska Cupen
18.08.26	Karlberg - Brage	2:0 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
15.08.26	Karlberg - Stocksund	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Enköping - Karlberg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
24.06.26	Karlberg - Piteå	3:1
01.09.24	Piteå - Karlberg	1:1
07.04.24	Karlberg - Piteå	1:0

Upcoming Matches