Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Highmark Stadium (Pittsburgh)

Referee: Demianchuk S. (Usa)


	Pittsburgh Riverhounds		Rio Grande Valley

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.25	3.5
	1.96	3.3	3.55
	2	3.29	3.94
	1.88	3.38	3.86	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.97)	3.32 ↑ (3.24)	3.71 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
47.7%

Draw
27.6%

Rio Grande Valley
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

27.9%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

26.6%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Rio Grande Valley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Rio Grande Valley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 11 (14.77%), project points - 42, currently - 6, a chance of playoffs (47%), a chance of qtrs (17%), a small chance of semis (7%), a very small chance of final (3%), a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has small quality 14, small importance 17, small match rating 16. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Pittsburgh could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Pittsburgh have a series of guest games.

Pittsburgh will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pittsburgh won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USL Championship
08.04.23	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:0 ✺
28.03.23	Tulsa - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:0 ✺
24.03.23	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Miami	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Memphis 901 - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:3 ✺
11.03.23	Birmingham Legion - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LTTWT
- Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
US Open Cup
05.04.23	South Georgia Tormenta - Rio Grande Valley	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
01.04.23	Detroit City - Rio Grande Valley	0:1 ✺
24.03.23	Rio Grande Valley - Monterey Bay	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Rio Grande Valley - Oakland Roots	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Rio Grande Valley - Las Vegas Lights	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
18.06.22	Rio Grande Valley - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:0

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