Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Weidner Field (Colorado Springs, CO)

Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Colorado Springs Switchbacks		Pittsburgh Riverhounds

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.01	3.3	3.6
	2.08	3.34	3.69
	1.98	3.36	3.8	Watch
	1.89	3.3	3.99	Watch
	2.01	3.3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.44)	3.27 ↑ (3.25)	3.63 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colorado Springs Switchbacks
46%

Draw
28.4%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

28.4%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27.6%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colorado Springs Switchbacks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colorado Springs Switchbacks's performance.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pittsburgh Riverhounds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Springs Switchbacks than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colorado Springs Switchbacks that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pittsburgh Riverhounds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Pittsburgh Riverhounds Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrera C. (G) 5. Mahoney M. 23. Metusala G. 14. Lacroix D. 6. Real M. 18. Rocha A. 10. Zandi Z. 17. Endeley H. 21. Fontana A. 20. Hanya Y. 27. Tejada J.	1. Dick E. (G) 16. Ydrach R. 5. Suber S. 23. Vacter G. 3. Barnes P. 15. Sample B. 42. Walti J. 13. Biasi L. 2. Griffin D. 9. Williams A. (C) 14. Mertz R.
Substitutes
77. Dhillon J. 7. Fjeldberg J. 33. Foster I. 11. Huerman Q. 80. Maldonado A. 22. Micaletto M. 24. Romero A. (G) 3. Ward A. 25. Weston H.	20. Bouregy J. 6. Broughton M. 8. Etou B. 18. Garcia J. 10. Jacquesson B. 4. O’Toole A. 31. Randolph J. (G)
Coaches
Chambers J.	Lilley B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Mahoney M. ⚽, Rocha A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sample B. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
46', Williams A. ↓, Jacquesson B. ↑,
55', Biasi L. 🟨,
58', Biasi L. ↓, Etou B. ↑,
65', Endeley H. ↓, Foster I. ↑,
78', Ydrach R. ↓, Bouregy J. ↑,
82', Tejada J. ↓, Dhillon J. ↑,
82', Hanya Y. ↓, Fjeldberg J. ↑,
89', Fontana A. ↓, Micaletto M. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Colorado Springs is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Colorado Springs won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Colorado Springs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colorado Springs Switchbacks
USL Championship
10.05.25	Las Vegas Lights - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
06.05.25	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - New York Red Bulls	1:4 ✺
USL Championship
03.05.25	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Phoenix Rising	1:1 ✺
23.04.25	San Antonio - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	3:2 ✺
19.04.25	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - El Paso Locomotive	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLTLT
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USL Championship
10.05.25	Louisville City - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
07.05.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - New York City	1:0 ✺
USL Championship
03.05.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - North Carolina	0:2 ✺
USL Cup
26.04.25	Detroit City - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:0 ✺
USL Championship
19.04.25	Loudoun United - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
17.08.24	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:2
08.04.23	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:0

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