Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday

Location: H-E-B Park (Edinburg)

Referee: Corrigan M. (Usa)


	Rio Grande Valley		Las Vegas Lights

	1	X	2
	1.31	5	6.75
	1.4	4.6	6.2
	1.39	4.83	7.83
	1.35	4.8	7.3	Watch
	1.35	4.9	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.55)	4.83 ↑ (3.5)	6.98 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Grande Valley
67.7%

Draw
19.1%

Las Vegas Lights
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

25.7%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Grande Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Grande Valley's performance.

Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Rio Grande Valley - Las Vegas Lights Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 9 (11.35%), has project points - 45, has currently - 0, has a good chance of playoffs (61%), has a chance of qtrs (25%), has a small chance of semis (11%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Las Vegas has the most likely position - 12 (39.52%), has project points - 32, has currently - 0, has a chance of playoffs (18%), has a very small chance of qtrs (5%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 10, small importance 20, small match rating 15. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rio Grande Valley won 2.

In this match Rio Grande Valley is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Rio Grande Valley won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Rio Grande Valley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
USL Championship
22.10.22	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Rio Grande Valley	3:0 ✺
15.10.22	Rio Grande Valley - Monterey Bay	4:1 ✺
08.10.22	Rio Grande Valley - Phoenix Rising	2:1 ✺
05.10.22	Memphis 901 - Rio Grande Valley	2:2 ✺
01.10.22	Rio Grande Valley - Louisville City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWTL
- Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship
15.10.22	LA Galaxy II - Las Vegas Lights	1:1 ✺
08.10.22	Las Vegas Lights - Miami	3:2 ✺
30.09.22	Las Vegas Lights - New Mexico United	0:0 ✺
27.09.22	Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay	4:0 ✺
24.09.22	Las Vegas Lights - San Diego Loyal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
27.08.22	Las Vegas Lights - Rio Grande Valley	0:5
17.07.22	Rio Grande Valley - Las Vegas Lights	0:1
27.07.19	Las Vegas Lights - Rio Grande Valley	2:1
20.04.19	Rio Grande Valley - Las Vegas Lights	5:2
04.08.18	Las Vegas Lights - Rio Grande Valley	1:0
14.07.18	Rio Grande Valley - Las Vegas Lights	2:0

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