Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 24 March 2023, Friday

Location: H-E-B Park (Edinburg)

Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)


	Rio Grande Valley		Monterey Bay

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.6	3.5
	1.78	4	3.55
	1.85	3.73	4.05
	1.76	3.78	3.94	Watch
	1.78	3.6	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.51)	3.74 ↑ (3.5)	3.7 ↓ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Grande Valley
51%

Draw
24.4%

Monterey Bay
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

26.1%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Grande Valley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Grande Valley's form might have worsened.

Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monterey Bay's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Rio Grande Valley - Monterey Bay Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rio Grande Valley will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Monterey Bay will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 11 (13.26%), project points - 41, currently - 2, a chance of playoffs (50%), a chance of qtrs (18%), a small chance of semis (7%), a very small chance of final (3%), a very small chance of win league (1%).

Monterey Bay has the most likely position - 12 (21.03%), project points - 37, currently - 3, a chance of playoffs (33%), a small chance of qtrs (10%), a very small chance of semis (3%), a very small chance of final (1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 12, small importance 23, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

In this match Rio Grande Valley is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Rio Grande Valley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Rio Grande Valley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
USL Championship
19.03.23	Rio Grande Valley - Oakland Roots	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Rio Grande Valley - Las Vegas Lights	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Rio Grande Valley	3:0 ✺
15.10.22	Rio Grande Valley - Monterey Bay	4:1 ✺
08.10.22	Rio Grande Valley - Phoenix Rising	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTLWW
- Monterey Bay FC
USL Championship
18.03.23	Monterey Bay - Louisville City	0:1 ✺
11.03.23	Monterey Bay - Hartford Athletic	5:3 ✺
15.10.22	Rio Grande Valley - Monterey Bay	4:1 ✺
12.10.22	Tulsa - Monterey Bay	2:0 ✺
02.10.22	Monterey Bay - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
15.10.22	Rio Grande Valley - Monterey Bay	4:1
14.05.22	Monterey Bay - Rio Grande Valley	1:2

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