Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Platense		Gimnasia La Plata

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.65	3.05	Watch
	2.75	2.6	3.2
	2.87	2.67	3.15
	2.96	2.72	2.98	Watch
	1.91	3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (1.92)	2.73 ↓ (3)	3.38 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Platense
36.3%

Draw
35.2%

Gimnasia La Plata
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

31.1%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

30.8%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Platense's form might have worsened.

Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimnasia La Plata's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Platense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnasia La Plata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.1%	12.2%	70.7%

Platense - Gimnasia La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Platense will win (votes: 7 - 17.1%). Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 29 - 70.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gimnasia La Plata: 56.8% – 84.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Gimnasia La Plata (2.12) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Gimnasia La Plata (1.45) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Gimnasia La Plata (7.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Gimnasia La Plata (2.00) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gimnasia La Plata will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Platense (votes: 1 - 4%). Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 22 - 88%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Desabato A. (G) 25. Saborido J. 13. Vazquez I. 6. Salomon O. 3. Silva T. 14. Picco L. 5. Herrera R. 11. Zapiola F. 7. Mainero G. 36. Orsini N. 19. Toloza S.	23. Insfran N. (G) 15. Pintado J. 4. Giampaoli R. 21. Martinez E. 14. Silva Torrejon P. 16. Max A. 17. Schelotto N. 8. Merlini B. 24. Merlo J. 32. Torres M. 38. Panaro M.
Substitutes
32. Baldassarra F. 24. Barros Schelotto B. 17. Bussio F. 41. Currado T. 4. Elizalde E. 38. Ingenthron C. 27. Losas F. (G) 21. Lotti A. 29. Minerva F. 9. Rodriguez M. 26. Schor I. 28. Tucker M.	39. Aguiar P. 11. Briasco N. 19. Castro L. 2. Corbalan F. 35. Cortazzo J. 30. De Asis J. 1. Ingolotti L. (G) 9. Jan Hurtado 18. Seoane M. 6. Suso G. 26. Torres F. 33. Villalba J.
Coaches
Lamberti H.	Zaniratto F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Panaro M. ⚽,
41', 0 - 2, Torres M. ⚽, Merlo J. (A),
45+1', Silva T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Herrera R. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
57', Zapiola F. ↓, Tucker M. ↑,
57', Orsini N. ↓, Lotti A. ↑,
63', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
72', Toloza S. ↓, Baldassarra F. ↑,
74', Panaro M. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
74', Merlo J. ↓, Briasco N. ↑,
75', Silva T. ↓, Schor I. ↑,
83', Merlini B. ↓, Aguiar P. ↑,
86', 0 - 3, Torres F. ⚽, Silva Torrejon P. (A),
88', Torres M. ↓, Jan Hurtado ↑,
89', Max A. ↓, Seoane M. ↑,
90+1', Saborido J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 1.

Platense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Gimnasia La Plata has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Platense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Platense will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Platense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Platense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Platense
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.11.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Platense	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	Platense - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Independiente - Platense	3:0 ✺
19.10.25	Rosario Central - Platense	1:0 ✺
13.10.25	Platense - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTLLT
- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.11.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Vélez Sársfield	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Talleres de Córdoba	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.05.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Platense	1:0
15.12.24	Platense - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0
30.07.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Platense	1:1
16.06.22	Platense - Gimnasia La Plata	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
19.04.22	Platense - Gimnasia La Plata	0:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.07.21	Gimnasia La Plata - Platense	2:2

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