Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 10 November 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo (La Plata)

Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Gimnasia La Plata		Vélez Sársfield

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.95	2.2	Watch
	3.5	2.92	2.3	Watch
	3.65	3.01	2.34
	3.84	3.04	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (3.35)	2.98 ↑ (2.73)	2.26 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia La Plata
26.1%

Draw
31.9%

Vélez Sársfield
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

34.3%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

33.9%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Gimnasia La Plata - Vélez Sársfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Vélez will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 18.5% – 61.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Vélez (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Insfran N. (C) 15. Pintado J. 4. Giampaoli R. 21. Martinez E. 14. Silva Torrejon P. 16. Max A. 17. Schelotto N. 38. Panaro M. 8. Merlini B. 7. Piedrahita A. 32. Torres M.	1. Marchiori T. (G) 21. Gordon J. 40. Silvero T. 6. Quiros A. 3. Gomez E. 29. Aliendro R. 26. Bouzat A. (C) 28. Carrizo M. 10. Valdes D. 20. Pizzini F. 15. Godoy D.
Substitutes
39. Aguiar P. 19. Castro L. 2. Corbalan F. 30. De Asis J. 46. Gelsomino A. 13. German Conti 1. Ingolotti L. (G) 9. Jan Hurtado 24. Merlo J. 18. Seoane M. 26. Torres F. 33. Villalba J.	43. Andrada I. 35. Arias M. 5. Baeza C. 34. Busso A. (G) 37. Cavanagh T. 8. Galvan T. 14. Lagos A. 22. Lanzini M. 23. Monzon F. 11. Pellegrini M. 7. Santos M. 17. Veron A.
Coaches
Zaniratto F.	Barros Schelotto G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Quiros A. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Torres M. ⚽, Piedrahita A. (A),
41', Gomez E. 🟨,
45+5', Silva Torrejon P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Panaro M. ↓, Merlo J. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Merlo J. ⚽, Piedrahita A. (A),
69', Merlo J. 🟨,
70', Carrizo M. 🟨,
72', Giampaoli R. ↓, German Conti ↑,
72', Torres M. ↓, Jan Hurtado ↑,
74', Godoy D. ↓, Monzon F. ↑,
74', Bouzat A. ↓, Lanzini M. ↑,
74', Gomez E. ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
76', Piedrahita A. 🟨,
79', Max A. ↓, Aguiar P. ↑,
79', Merlini B. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
88', Carrizo M. ↓, Santos M. ↑,
88', Gordon J. ↓, Andrada I. ↑,

Preview

Vélez is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Vélez is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Di Biasi F. (Knee Injury) Garayalde N. (Inactive) Lomonaco S. (Inactive) Mammini I. (Knee Injury) Melluso M. (Inactive) Sosa A. (Inactive) Suso G. (Yellow Cards) Villarreal S. (Inactive) Yangali J. (Inactive) Zalazar M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Vélez: Cavanagh T. (Muscle Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Machuca I. (Suspended) Mammana E. (Ankle Injury) Roldan L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Gimnasia La Plata: Pintado J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Vélez Sársfield - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.81%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.11.25	River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Talleres de Córdoba	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.2 WLLWL
- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.11.25	Vélez Sársfield - Talleres de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central	1:2 ✺
06.10.25	Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield	2:2 ✺
29.09.25	Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.04.25	Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0
13.05.24	Gimnasia La Plata - Vélez Sársfield	3:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.02.24	Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata	3:1
13.09.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Vélez Sársfield	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.01.23	Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata	3:1
14.08.22	Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata	1:1
13.09.21	Gimnasia La Plata - Vélez Sársfield	0:0

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