The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Platense 50%
Draw 30.7%
Sarmiento de Junín 19.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
30.5%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.8%
29.8%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Platense's performance.
Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarmiento de Junín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Platense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarmiento de Junín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.2%
15.8%
0%
Platense - Sarmiento de Junín Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Platense will win (votes: 16 - 84.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Platense: 67.8% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Platense will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Platense (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Sarmiento (votes: 6 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Losas F. (G) 25. Saborido J. 13. Vazquez I. (C) 6. Salomon O. 3. Silva T. 14. Picco L. 5. Herrera R. 32. Baldassarra F. 7. Mainero G. 77. Martinez R. 26. Schor I.
42. Acosta L. (G) 21. Vigo A. 44. Orihuela R. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 26. Arismendi Y. 19. Contrera J. 29. Gomez J. 5. Garcia M. 33. Diaz G. 18. Morales I. 20. Frias F.
Substitutes
24. Barros Schelotto B. 17. Bussio F. 41. Currado T. 1. Desabato A. (G) 4. Elizalde E. 38. Ingenthron C. 21. Lotti A. 20. Marquez De Meneses R. L. 29. Minerva F. 36. Orsini N. 40. Ortiz N. 19. Toloza S.
9. Ardaiz J. 32. Devecchi J. (G) 37. Fumiz R. 23. Gimenez E. 40. Marquez B. 36. Morales S. 10. Paradela F. 12. Pratto L. 30. Renteria J. 11. Rodriguez S. 34. Seyral A. 15. Suhr L.
Coaches
Lamberti H.
Sava F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Mainero G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Schor I. ↓, Lotti A. ↑,
60', Frias F. 🟨,
61', Orihuela R. 🟨,
63', Frias F. ↓, Pratto L. ↑,
63', Gomez J. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
68', Garcia M. ↓, Seyral A. ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Diaz G. ⚽, Morales I. (A),
77', Baldassarra F. ↓, Toloza S. ↑,
78', Herrera R. ↓, Marquez De Meneses R. L. ↑,
80', Contrera J. ↓, Suhr L. ↑,
81', Diaz G. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
85', Saborido J. ↓, Orsini N. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Martinez R. ⚽, Vazquez I. (A),
90+3', Acosta L. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 4.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
In this match, Platense is seen as the favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Platense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 0.8:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Platense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1:0.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Platense - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.82%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
China
Mexico
Usa
World
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Losas F. (G) 
Martinez R. 
Orihuela R. 
Morales I. 
Renteria J. 
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