Match Info

Date: 6 March 2022, Sunday


	Platense		Honduras Progreso

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.85
	2.36	2.8	2.85
	2.67	2.34	3.23
	2.35	3.22	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.47)	2.84 ↓ (3.16)	2.96 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Platense
37.4%

Draw
31.9%

Honduras Progreso
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

28.9%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

20.7%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Honduras Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Platense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honduras Progreso than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Honduras Progreso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Platense - Honduras Progreso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Platense won 0.

Platense is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Honduras Progreso is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Platense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 30 head-to-head matches Platense won 10 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 54-50.

Including matches at home between the teams Platense won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Platense
Honduras Liga Nacional
02.03.22	Platense - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:3 ✺
27.02.22	Motagua - Platense	2:0 ✺
20.02.22	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Platense	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Platense - Vida	1:2 ✺
09.02.22	Lobos UPNFM - Platense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 LLTLW
- CD Honduras Progreso
Honduras Liga Nacional
03.03.22	Honduras Progreso - Victoria La Ceiba	2:1 ✺
26.02.22	Real España - Honduras Progreso	3:0 ✺
19.02.22	Vida - Honduras Progreso	0:2 ✺
13.02.22	Honduras Progreso - CD Marathón	2:1 ✺
09.02.22	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Honduras Progreso	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
02.10.21	Honduras Progreso - Platense	4:2
12.08.21	Platense - Honduras Progreso	1:1
21.03.21	Honduras Progreso - Platense	2:2
28.02.21	Platense - Honduras Progreso	0:4
31.10.20	Honduras Progreso - Platense	1:1
15.10.20	Platense - Honduras Progreso	0:0
01.03.20	Platense - Honduras Progreso	4:1

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