Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse (Choluteca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Lobos UPNFM		Platense

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.28	3.2	2.78
	2.37	3.25	2.9
	2.30	3.14	3.10	Watch
	2.3	3	2.8
	2.33	3.08	2.87	Watch
	2.08	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.08)	3.11 ↑ (3)	2.94 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lobos UPNFM
40.1%

Draw
29.1%

Platense
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

29.3%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

30.4%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Lobos UPNFM - Platense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Platense (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Platense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Guity A. (G)
22. Ardon C.
25. Banzzety J.
4. Garcia J.
30. Herrlein L.
2. Lopez L.
10. Morales M.
11. Moreira R. (C)
27. Pena K.
3. Rodas Andrino G. J.
5. Zuniga A.
Substitutes
51. Almendarez K.
59. Gradiz E.
21. Guity E.
26. Lopez B.
20. Lopez E.
17. Padilla J.
7. Rochez C.
9. Rochez J.
1. Valladares C. (G)
16. Vasquez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Ardon C. 🟨,
17', Padilla O. 🟨,
22', Ardon C. ↓, Guity E. ↑,
39', Canelas J. 🟨,
41', Guity A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Padilla O. ↓, Jhonson P. ↑,
59', Morales M. 🟨,
62', Herrlein L. ↓, Vasquez E. ↑,
62', Morales M. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
62', Moreira R. ↓, Rochez J. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Pena K. ⚽,
74', Zuniga A. 🟥,
77', Arriola Y. ↓, Flores R. ↑,
77', Urbina E. ↓, Pozantes S. ↑,
83', Welcome G. ↓, Castillo Y. ↑,
85', Pena K. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
86', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 1.

Lobos UPNFM is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Platense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lobos UPNFM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Lobos UPNFM won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	UPNFM	8	2	2	4	7:12	-5	8
12	Platense	8	1	2	5	6:18	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional
20.02.26	Real España - Lobos UPNFM	4:3 ✺
12.02.26	Lobos UPNFM - Victoria La Ceiba	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Olancho - Lobos UPNFM	1:1 ✺
29.01.26	Choloma - Lobos UPNFM	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLTT
- CD Platense
Honduras Liga Nacional
22.02.26	Platense - Juticalpa	4:0 ✺
15.02.26	Génesis PN - Platense	2:2 ✺
12.02.26	CD Marathón - Platense	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Platense - Choloma	1:1 ✺
29.01.26	Motagua - Platense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
18.10.25	Lobos UPNFM - Platense	1:1
10.08.25	Platense - Lobos UPNFM	4:1
03.04.22	Platense - Lobos UPNFM	1:0
09.02.22	Lobos UPNFM - Platense	1:2
26.09.21	Platense - Lobos UPNFM	2:3
21.08.21	Lobos UPNFM - Platense	3:0
17.04.21	Lobos UPNFM - Platense	0:0

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