Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 2

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles (Tegucigalpa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox


	Motagua		Platense

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.55	4.35
	1.69	3.65	4.7
	1.84	3.64	3.90	Watch
	1.7	3.3	4.5
	1.68	3.4	4.74	Watch
	1.7	3.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.56)	3.48 ↓ (4.01)	4.45 ↓ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motagua
53.3%

Draw
26.2%

Platense
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

22.6%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

20.9%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Motagua - Platense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Motagua (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ortiz L. (G) 11. Da Silva R. 19. De Olivera R. 5. Discua O. 10. Gomez R. 15. Hernandez A. 27. Macias J. 35. Melendez C. 17. Portillo J. 34. Sacaza G. 12. Santos M.	18. Orobio Rincon J. A. (G) 34. Arriola Y. 8. Castillo Y. 3. Garcia E. 19. Lopez Quinteros C. 15. Padilla O. 25. Pozantes S. 10. Puerto E. 23. Salinas M. 21. Santos B. 12. Welcome G.
Substitutes
. Barrios A. . Cacho P. . Garcia J. . John Kleber . Licona M. (G) . Mejia C. . Melendez L. . Oyuela Y. . Palma C. . Santamaria L. . Serrano J. . Vega L.	22. Aguilar A. . Canelas J. 13. Carter D. 26. Castellanos C. 17. Corea R. 1. Flores B. 7. Flores R. 24. Jhonson P. 2. Mena J. 58. Nunez R. 5. Rodriguez M. 14. Urbina E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Gomez R. 🟨,
25', Puerto E. 🟨,
25', Discua O. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Da Silva R. ⚽,
45+3', Melendez C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Castillo Y. ↓, Urbina E. ↑,
46', Hernandez A. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
61', Salinas M. ↓, Flores R. ↑,
61', Welcome G. ↓, Aguilar A. ↑,
67', De Olivera R. ↓, John Kleber ↑,
67', Macias J. ↓, Serrano J. ↑,
71', Padilla O. ↓, Carter D. ↑,
72', Da Silva R. ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, John Kleber ⚽,
77', Arriola Y. ↓, Canelas J. ↑,
79', Discua O. ↓, Palma C. ↑,
82', John Kleber 🟨,
90', Santos B. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 3.

Motagua has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Platense is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Motagua may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Motagua is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:20. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Motagua won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 2:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Motagua	8	4	1	3	11:8	3	13
12	Platense	8	1	2	5	6:18	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
23.12.25	Real España - Motagua	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Motagua - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:1 ✺
17.12.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Motagua - Real España	0:3 ✺
06.12.25	Juticalpa - Motagua	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTLLW
- CD Platense
Honduras Liga Nacional
25.01.26	Platense - Victoria La Ceiba	1:1 ✺
25.12.25	Olancho - Platense	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Platense - CD Marathón	2:2 ✺
18.12.25	CD Marathón - Platense	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Platense - Olancho	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
02.12.25	Motagua - Platense	0:4
17.09.25	Platense - Motagua	1:2
24.04.22	Platense - Motagua	0:0
27.02.22	Motagua - Platense	2:0
09.10.21	Platense - Motagua	2:3
08.08.21	Motagua - Platense	3:0
27.04.21	Platense - Motagua	2:3

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