Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Eva Peron (Junin) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	15:00	ESPN Premium
China	02:00	K-Ball
Mexico	12:00	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	13:00	Disney+
Uruguay	15:00	Disney+
Usa	14:00	Fanatiz
Venezuela	14:00	Disney+


	Sarmiento de Junín		Vélez Sársfield

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.75	2.3	Watch
	3.65	2.75	2.35
	3.89	2.79	2.38
	3.66	2.85	2.39	Watch
	3.05	2.85	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (3.13)	2.8 ↓ (2.84)	2.38 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín
26.5%

Draw
33.8%

Vélez Sársfield
39.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.8%

32.9%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

32.2%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	16.7%	75%

Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Vélez will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Vélez (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Acosta L. (G) 21. Vigo A. 44. Orihuela R. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 39. Godoy J. 19. Contrera J. 25. Villalba C. 5. Garcia M. 26. Arismendi Y. 18. Morales I. 12. Pratto L.	1. Marchiori T. (G) 21. Gordon J. 2. Mammana E. 16. Magallan L. 3. Gomez E. 5. Baeza C. 26. Bouzat A. (C) 10. Valdes D. 22. Lanzini M. 11. Pellegrini M. 15. Godoy D.
Substitutes
9. Ardaiz J. 32. Devecchi J. (G) 33. Diaz G. 20. Frias F. 37. Fumiz R. 23. Gimenez E. 29. Gomez J. 36. Morales S. 10. Paradela F. 11. Rodriguez S. 34. Seyral A. 15. Suhr L.	. Andrada T. 35. Arias M. 8. Galvan T. 14. Lagos A. 12. Montero A. (G) 23. Monzon F. 20. Pizzini F. 6. Quiros A. 19. Roldan L. 7. Santos M. 40. Silvero T. 33. Vazquez K. A.
Coaches
Sava F.	Barros Schelotto G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Mammana E. ↓, Quiros A. ↑,
28', Villalba C. 🟨,
28', Contrera J. ↓, Suhr L. ↑,
36', Suhr L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Valdes D. ↓, Pizzini F. ↑,
56', Pratto L. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
56', Villalba C. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Lanzini M. ⚽,
64', Baeza C. 🟨,
67', 0 - 2, Pizzini F. ⚽,
68', Arismendi Y. ↓, Ardaiz J. ↑,
79', Lanzini M. ↓, Galvan T. ↑,
79', Godoy D. ↓, Monzon F. ↑,
87', Baeza C. ↓, Roldan L. ↑,
90+4', Magallan L. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sarmiento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vélez might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Sarmiento: Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury) Magnin P. (Knee Injury) Renteria J. (International duty) Roncaglia F. (Coach's decision)

There will not play in Vélez: Aliendro R. (Red Card) Carrizo M. (International duty) Cavanagh T. (Muscle Injury) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Gordon J. (Ankle Injury) Machuca I. (Suspended) Montero A. (International duty)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.10.25	River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Aldosivi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 WLLWW
- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.10.25	Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central	1:2 ✺
06.10.25	Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield	2:2 ✺
29.09.25	Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.09.25	Racing - Vélez Sársfield	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.09.25	San Martín de San Juan - Vélez Sársfield	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.04.25	Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1
01.12.24	Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0
14.07.23	Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield	1:1
22.08.22	Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1
24.09.21	Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
21.02.21	Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.06.17	Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín	5:1

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