The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Platense 44.5%
Draw 32.3%
San Martín de San Juan 23.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.1%
26.8%
17.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.2%
24%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Platense's form might have worsened.
San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Martín de San Juan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Platense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Platense - San Martín de San Juan Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Platense will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). San Martín will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Sumavil N. (G) 4. Lagos A. 34. Mendia M. 6. Raggio E. 32. Quiros S. 5. Gomez I. 24. Barrios M. 43. Retamar K. 18. Merlini B. (C) 33. Gauto J. 23. Heredia L.
1. Velazco M. (G) 4. Murillo F. 2. Osores M. 6. Marchio J. 3. Lucero G. 10. Rumbolo R. 5. Monje L. 8. Acosta G. (C) 7. Iachetti N. 9. Rossi G. 11. Lattanzio C.
Substitutes
19. Bobadilla H. 20. Borgogno M. (G) 47. Bosch B. 17. Bussio F. 41. Currado T. 27. Dalmasso S. 99. Lencina G. 7. Mainero G. 3. Silva T. 28. Tucker M. 13. Vazquez I. 10. Zapiola F.
20. Acosta N. 17. Aguero L. 13. Cocca M. 12. Diaz Robles S. (G) 23. Funez N. 19. Gonzalez S. 21. Hachen G. 22. Jaurena S. 18. Juncos B. 14. Nadalin F. 15. Pelaitay N. 16. Zuliani H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Iachetti N. 🟨,
22', Retamar K. ↓, Tucker M. ↑,
37', Acosta G. 🟨,
40', Lattanzio C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Lattanzio C. ↓, Acosta N. ↑,
60', Rumbolo R. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
61', Monje L. 🟨,
63', Mendia M. 🟨,
73', Lucero G. ↓, Zuliani H. ↑,
73', Iachetti N. ↓, Aguero L. ↑,
73', Tucker M. ↓, Zapiola F. ↑,
73', Merlini B. ↓, Lencina G. ↑,
76', Rossi G. ↓, Funez N. ↑,
81', Heredia L. ↓, Mainero G. ↑,
81', Gauto J. ↓, Bobadilla H. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Gonzalez S. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Mainero G. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Funez N. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Mendia M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Marchio J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Lagos A. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Zuliani H. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Zapiola F. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Murillo F. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Neutral location.
Platense is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
San Martín has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
San Martín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Platense has had a series of home games.
In this match, Platense is the team to beat.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Platense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
Including home match between the teams, Platense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.