The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Plymouth Parkway 47.9%
Draw 24.7%
Chertsey Town 27.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.9%
23.9%
24.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.5%
23.6%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plymouth Parkway has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Chertsey Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Plymouth Parkway - Chertsey Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
73', 1 - 0, Neal A. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 0, Thomson R. ⚽,
Preview
Replayed if draw.
Plymouth Parkway has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Chertsey have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Plymouth Parkway holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Plymouth Parkway has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:4 (averaging 1.8:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Plymouth Parkway against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:2 goals (averaging 2.5:1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Chertsey Town - the odds 3.77 are the expected chance of winning is 24.15%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.