Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 11

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday


	Plymouth Parkway		Totton

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.2	1.46
	4.9	4.2	1.51
	5	4.8	1.47
	5.32	4.71	1.5	Watch
	5.58	4.33	1.45
	4.9	4.2	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.16 ↓ (7.15)	4.41 ↓ (4.95)	1.48 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Parkway
17.7%

Draw
20.7%

Totton
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.7%

18.4%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.1%

17.6%

72.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Parkway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Totton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Totton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plymouth Parkway that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Totton than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Totton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Plymouth Parkway - Totton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Lee T. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Lee T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 2, Jones D. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Plymouth Parkway is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Totton is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Totton is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Plymouth Parkway won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:7 (average 0.3:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Plymouth Parkway won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Parkway
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Plymouth Parkway - Worthing	0:4 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Plymouth Parkway - Banbury United	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
28.09.24	Sittingbourne - Plymouth Parkway	0:3 ✺
English Southern League South Division
24.09.24	Poole Town - Plymouth Parkway	3:1 ✺
21.09.24	Hungerford Town - Plymouth Parkway	9:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWLL
- AFC Totton
English Southern League South Division
12.10.24	Totton - Hanwell Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Totton - Merthyr Town	1:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
21.09.24	Bracknell Town - Totton	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Dorchester Town - Totton	3:2 ✺
10.09.24	Totton - Wimborne Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
22.04.24	Plymouth Parkway - Totton	0:3
19.03.24	Totton - Plymouth Parkway	2:0
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Totton - Plymouth Parkway	2:1

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