Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 25

Date: 26 December 2022, Monday


	Plymouth Parkway		Truro City

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.7	1.98
	2.95	3.9	1.95
	2.88	4.17	2.03
	3.25	4	1.8
	2.97	3.62	2.08
	3	3.6	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (4.4)	3.83 ↓ (4)	1.98 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Parkway
30.4%

Draw
23.7%

Truro City
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

22.6%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

22.3%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Parkway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plymouth Parkway's performance.

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Truro City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plymouth Parkway that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Truro City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Plymouth Parkway - Truro City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Plymouth Parkway could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Plymouth Parkway have a series of guest games.

Truro will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Parkway
English FA Trophy
20.12.22	Barnet - Plymouth Parkway	1:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
06.12.22	Bracknell Town - Plymouth Parkway	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Hanwell Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Oxford City - Plymouth Parkway	1:2 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
12.11.22	Plymouth Parkway - Hayes & Yeading United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 LTLWW
- Truro City
English Southern League South Division
17.12.22	Dorchester Town - Truro City	1:0 ✺
07.12.22	Truro City - Beaconsfield Town	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Truro City - Harrow Borough	2:1 ✺
26.11.22	Chesham United - Truro City	3:1 ✺
19.11.22	Truro City - Winchester City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTWLW

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