Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 35

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday


	Plymouth Parkway		Hayes & Yeading United

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.4
	2.5	3.4	2.5
	2.48	3.65	2.5
	2.48	3.65	2.5
	2.52	3.48	2.52
	2.5	3.4	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (1.93)	3.5 ↑ (3.25)	2.49 ↓ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Parkway
36.9%

Draw
26.2%

Hayes & Yeading United
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27.9%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

26.8%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Parkway has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Plymouth Parkway's form might have worsened.

Hayes & Yeading United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hayes & Yeading United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Plymouth Parkway, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayes & Yeading United than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hayes & Yeading United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Ekpiteta M. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Jones D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, Wright M. ⚽,
81', 3 - 1, Thomson R. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Plymouth Parkway has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hayes & Yeading is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hayes & Yeading could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Plymouth Parkway will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Plymouth Parkway won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Plymouth Parkway won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Parkway
English Southern League South Division
22.04.24	Plymouth Parkway - Totton	0:3 ✺
20.04.24	Plymouth Parkway - Walton & Hersham	2:2 ✺
18.04.24	Hanwell Town - Plymouth Parkway	4:0 ✺
16.04.24	Poole Town - Plymouth Parkway	2:2 ✺
13.04.24	Didcot Town - Plymouth Parkway	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLTL
- Hayes & Yeading United
English Southern League South Division
20.04.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Salisbury	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Gosport Borough - Hayes & Yeading United	1:2 ✺
09.04.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Basingstoke Town	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Dorchester Town	0:1 ✺
01.04.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Hendon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
23.01.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Plymouth Parkway	0:2
15.04.23	Hayes & Yeading United - Plymouth Parkway	2:1
12.11.22	Plymouth Parkway - Hayes & Yeading United	3:1

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