Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 36

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: The Meadow (Chesham)


	Chesham United		Truro City

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.95	2.39
	2.92	3.06	2.52
	2.92	3.06	2.52
	2.79	3.3	2.45
	2.8	2.95	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.83)	3.06 ↓ (3.27)	2.45 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
32.4%

Draw
30.1%

Truro City
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

27.9%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

27.1%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Chesham United - Truro City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Riley-Lowe C. ⚽,
13', 0 - 2, Harvey T. ⚽,
41', 0 - 3, Fischer-Johnson D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 0 - 4, Jephcott L. ⚽,
87', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesham won 2.

Chesham is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Truro is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chesham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Truro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Chesham won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22:15 (average 2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Chesham won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:5 (average 2.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English National League South
25.02.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Chesham United	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Hornchurch - Chesham United	2:1 ✺
18.02.25	Chesham United - Salisbury	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	Chesham United - Enfield Town	1:3 ✺
11.02.25	Chippenham Town - Chesham United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTLL
- Truro City
English National League South
25.02.25	Truro City - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Truro City - Slough Town	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Tonbridge Angels - Truro City	0:1 ✺
11.02.25	Truro City - Farnborough	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Truro City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
23.11.24	Truro City - Chesham United	2:1
English Southern League South Division
28.02.23	Truro City - Chesham United	3:1
26.11.22	Chesham United - Truro City	3:1
04.12.21	Chesham United - Truro City	3:1
25.09.21	Truro City - Chesham United	4:1
18.01.20	Truro City - Chesham United	0:1
24.08.19	Chesham United - Truro City	1:1

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