Match Info

Date: 7 March 2021, Sunday


	Poblense		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.75	2.5
	2.85	2.65	2.75
	2.95	2.6	2.6
	3.22	2.66	2.8
	3.54	2.13	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.65)	2.56 ↓ (2.77)	2.74 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poblense
30.1%

Draw
36.1%

Navalcarnero
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

32.6%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

23.5%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poblense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Poblense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Navalcarnero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Poblense - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Relegation Group) and 6 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Second stage)).

Poblense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Navalcarnero is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Poblense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Poblense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Poblense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.02.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Poblense	1:1 ✺
14.02.21	Poblense - Rayo Majadahonda	2:3 ✺
07.02.21	Getafe B - Poblense	0:2 ✺
03.02.21	Poblense - DUX Internacional de Madrid	0:3 ✺
31.01.21	Poblense - Las Rozas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWLL
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.03.21	Atlético Baleares - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
14.02.21	Navalcarnero - Real Madrid Castilla	1:2 ✺
10.02.21	Navalcarnero - Atlético Madrid B	1:1 ✺
07.02.21	Rayo Majadahonda - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
31.01.21	Navalcarnero - Getafe B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.12.20	Navalcarnero - Poblense	0:0

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