Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 17

Date: 28 February 2024, Wednesday


	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała		Motor Lublin

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.8
	2.37	3.25	2.7
	2.45	3.3	2.8	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.66
	2.54	3.27	2.91
	2.3	3.2	2.75
	2.41	3.22	2.78	Watch
	2.52	3.15	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.69)	3.22 ↓ (3.24)	2.76 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
37.9%

Draw
28.6%

Motor Lublin
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

28.9%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

28.6%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	45.5%	27.3%

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała - Motor Lublin Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Podbeskidzie will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Motor will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Krzepisz K. (G) 10. Banaszewski M. 7. Bida B. 3. Jodlowiec T. 32. Kisiel J. 17. Malachowski A. 53. Martinaga M. 89. Mikolajewski D. (C) 24. Sitek M. 14. Siverio Toro M. 55. Willman M.	1. Rosa K. (G) 77. Ceglarz P. (C) 26. Krol M. 74. Kruk K. 73. Lis J. 18. Najemski A. 30. Ndiaye M. J. 47. Palacz K. 99. Spiewak K. 17. Wojcik F. 68. Wolski B.
Substitutes
9. Abate L. 6. Hlavica J. 4. Lusiusz S. 20. Merebashvili G. 95. Procek P. (G) 5. Senic M. 8. Stryjewski Mi. 77. Tomasik P. 2. Ziolkowski M.	53. Budzilek L. (G) 11. Kaminski D. 24. Luberecki F. 90. Mraz S. 21. Rudol S. 37. Scalet M. 28. Stolarski P. 22. Wojtkowski K. 9. Zebrakowski M.
Coaches
Marzec D.	Feio G.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 7).

Podbeskidzie has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Motor is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Podbeskidzie won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
Polish Division 1
24.02.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Odra Opole	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Resovia Rzeszów	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.02.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Gangwon	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Žilina - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	5:0 ✺
20.01.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Hutnik	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLLW
- Motor Lublin
Polish Division 1
24.02.24	Motor Lublin - Termalica Nieciecza	1:0 ✺
19.02.24	GKS Katowice - Motor Lublin	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.02.24	Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Motor Lublin - Wisła Puławy	5:1 ✺
27.01.24	Motor Lublin - Resovia Rzeszów	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
22.09.21	Motor Lublin - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:0

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