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Current Win Probability
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała 42.5%
Draw 26.8%
Unia Skierniewice 30.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.8%
24.7%
29.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.6%
23.8%
28.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Unia Skierniewice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Skierniewice than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała - Unia Skierniewice Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Branczyk S. (G) 2. Sochan K. 4. Biernat M. (C) 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 14. Urynowicz M. 6. Rakoczy M. 26. Sewerzynski O. 84. Martosz B. 11. Hirosawa T. 37. Tomczyk O. 90. Klisiewicz L.
22. Pruszkowski S. (G) 15. Wolinski E. 28. Stepien M. (C) 3. Straus J. 18. Mierzwa J. 6. Makuch D. 53. Dudek S. 21. Szmyd M. 11. Bida B. 52. Gaska D. 9. Sabillo K.
Substitutes
22. Gach K. 27. Iwanczyk A. 17. Majsterek J. 91. Matys M. (G) 10. Pietraszkiewicz D. 9. Shikavka Y. 7. Sitek M. 98. Slomka W. 8. Takac D.
27. Bieronski J. 77. Burkiewicz A. 7. Czarnecki J. 24. Eizenchart B. 17. Kaminski J. 20. Kosior M. 26. Melich O. 10. Toporkiewicz K. 12. Wodzicki A. (G)
Coaches
Wlodarski M.
Socha K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Sewerzynski O. 🟨,
31', Wolinski E. 🟨,
41', Szmyd M. 🟨,
41', Tomczyk O. ↓, Shikavka Y. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Szmyd M. ↓, Eizenchart B. ↑,
67', Hirosawa T. ↓, Sitek M. ↑,
67', Urynowicz M. ↓, Slomka W. ↑,
69', Sabillo K. ↓, Toporkiewicz K. ↑,
69', Gaska D. ↓, Burkiewicz A. ↑,
78', Kasperkiewicz A. ↓, Gach K. ↑,
79', Sewerzynski O. ↓, Iwanczyk A. ↑,
81', 0 - 1, Bida B. (Penalty Awarded),
82', Mierzwa J. ↓, Czarnecki J. ↑,
82', Makuch D. ↓, Kosior M. ↑,
86', Czarnecki J. 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, Shikavka Y. ⚽,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 17th in the Relegation ~ Division 2 and 15th).
Recent results have been tough for Podbeskidzie (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Unia Skierniewice have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Podbeskidzie could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Podbeskidzie has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Podbeskidzie holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Podbeskidzie has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:1 (averaging 3.5:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Podbeskidzie against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.
Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now
Podbeskidzie: 0.41%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Skierniewice
9
3
1
5
10:15
-5
10
17
Podbeskidzie
9
0
8
1
12:14
-2
8
Last Results with these Odds
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.8%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.