The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ruch Chorzów 48.3%
Draw 26.1%
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała 25.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.9%
25.9%
24.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.1%
23.9%
22.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ruch Chorzów, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Ruch Chorzów - Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
44. Wrabel J. (G) 14. Wojcik F. 28. Lesniak-Paduch N. 17. Lukic A. (C) 3. del Moral A. 6. Chrapek M. 7. Kristan J. 88. Rostek K. 18. Nagamatsu S. 21. Szwedzik P. 99. Coscia W.
99. Branczyk S. (G) 2. Sochan K. 4. Biernat M. (C) 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 84. Martosz B. 26. Sewerzynski O. 14. Urynowicz M. 27. Iwanczyk A. 7. Sitek M. 9. Shikavka Y. 90. Klisiewicz L.
Substitutes
82. Bielecki J. (G) 11. Cieslak S. 24. Komor A. 15. Konczkowski M. 27. Laskowski K. 9. Pawlowski M. 5. Rosol M. 8. Sikora P. 10. Sutherland T.
22. Gach K. 11. Hirosawa T. 17. Majsterek J. 91. Matys M. (G) 10. Pietraszkiewicz D. 36. Rakoczy M. 98. Slomka W. 8. Takac D. 37. Tomczyk O.
Coaches
Fornalik W.
Wlodarski M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Szwedzik P. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Urynowicz M. ⚽, Martosz B. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Shikavka Y. ↓, Tomczyk O. ↑,
46', Iwanczyk A. ↓, Slomka W. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Coscia A. ⚽, Kristan J. (A),
58', Kasperkiewicz A. 🟨,
63', Sitek M. ↓, Rakoczy M. ↑,
64', Urynowicz M. ↓, Hirosawa T. ↑,
67', Coscia A. ↓, Pawlowski M. ↑,
67', Nagamatsu S. ↓, Sutherland T. ↑,
78', Wojcik F. ↓, Konczkowski M. ↑,
78', Rostek K. ↓, Laskowski K. ↑,
81', Konczkowski M. 🟨,
82', Klisiewicz L. ↓, Gach K. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Biernat M. (Penalty Awarded),
85', 3 - 2, Lukic A. ⚽, Kristan J. (A),
86', Lukic A. 🟨,
90', 3 - 3, Tomczyk O. ⚽, Kasperkiewicz A. (A),
90+1', Szwedzik P. ↓, Sikora P. ↑,
90+3', Rakoczy M. 🟨,
90+5', Tomczyk O. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ruch Chorzów won 1.
Ruch Chorzów is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Podbeskidzie is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, Podbeskidzie has had a series of away games.
Ruch Chorzów is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ruch Chorzów won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 0.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Ruch Chorzów won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.9:2.1).
Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now
Ruch Chorzow: 4.51% Podbeskidzie: 0.41%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Ruch Chorzow
9
3
3
3
9:11
-2
12
17
Podbeskidzie
9
0
8
1
12:14
-2
8
Last Results with these Odds
Ruch Chorzów - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 49.93%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Poland
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Wrabel J. (G) 
Lukic A. (C) 
del Moral A. 
Kristan J. 
Nagamatsu S. 
Coscia W. 
Shikavka Y. 
Sutherland T. 
Takac D. 
