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Current Win Probability
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała 50.8%
Draw 24.4%
Podhale Nowy Targ 24.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47%
25.4%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.8%
24%
26%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Podhale Nowy Targ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała - Podhale Nowy Targ Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Forenc K. (G) 4. Biernat M. 22. Gach K. 6. Kizyma M. 90. Klisiewicz L. 21. Kolanko K. 17. Majsterek J. 84. Martosz B. 7. Sitek M. 98. Slomka W. 14. Urynowicz M.
1. Styrczula M. (G) 25. Burkiewicz A. 20. Chojecki A. 87. Kurzeja B. 15. Lelito B. 42. Lipien M. 19. Michota M. 23. Mikolajczyk B. 27. Pena C. 2. Salak K. 21. Vosko P.
Substitutes
99. Branczyk S. (G) 28. Czerwik J. 77. Florek B. 9. Gorski M. 10. Kanach R. 66. Kozik M. 13. Sciuk D. 37. Tomczyk O.
77. Cielemecki R. 33. Fratczak D. (G) 14. Hamed M. 30. Kumorek M. 29. Marcinho 10. Nowak A. 16. Rubis J. 7. Seweryn L. 8. Vaclavik R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Chojecki A. ⚽,
42', Lipien M. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Majsterek J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 2 - 1, Sitek M. ⚽,
61', Martosz B. ↓, Tomczyk O. ↑,
61', Kolanko K. ↓, Sciuk D. ↑,
63', Chojecki A. ↓, Marcinho ↑,
63', Lipien M. ↓, Seweryn L. ↑,
67', Lelito B. 🟨,
75', Klisiewicz L. ↓, Gorski M. ↑,
75', Kizyma M. ↓, Kanach R. ↑,
78', Salak K. ↓, Hamed M. ↑,
78', Lelito B. ↓, Vaclavik R. ↑,
78', Pena C. ↓, Kumorek M. ↑,
80', Kanach R. 🟨,
87', Gorski M. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Podbeskidzie is Qualified for Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Podhale is Qualified for Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Podbeskidzie has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Podhale has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Podbeskidzie is the team to beat.
We predict that Podbeskidzie will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Podbeskidzie won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Podbeskidzie won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now
Podhale Nowy Targ: 3.26%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Podhale Nowy Targ
10
5
2
3
20:18
2
17
Last Results with these Odds
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 46.98%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
Poland
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Forenc K. (G) 
Pena C. 
Vosko P. 
Hamed M. 
Marcinho 
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