Match Info

Division 1 - Round 29

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday

Location: Stadion MZOS Znicz (Pruszków)

Referee: Sulikowski D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app


	Znicz Pruszków		Termalica Nieciecza

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.4	1.9	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.2
	3.25	3.4	2.14	Watch
	3.42	3.61	2.06
	3.3	3.53	2.09	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.25
	3.33	3.48	2.02
	3.25	3.4	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↓ (3.67)	3.42 ↓ (3.45)	2.1 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Znicz Pruszków
28.5%

Draw
27.2%

Termalica Nieciecza
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

27%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

26.3%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Znicz Pruszków - Termalica Nieciecza Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Termalica (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Misztal P. (C) 14. Okhronchuk V. 26. Kendzia F. 99. Koprowski O. 11. Moskwik P. 29. Borecki M. 80. Plewka P. 30. Nowak W. 7. Sokol D. 17. Kazimierczak A. 21. Stanclik D.	1. Chovan A. (G) 29. Isik G. 23. Spendlhofer L. 77. Putivtsev A. 2. Kopacz B. 86. Strzalek I. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 90. Nowakowski J. 21. Hilbrycht D. 7. Fassbender M. 25. Zapolnik K.
Substitutes
10. Ciepiela B. 44. Gora L. 13. Imai K. 19. Karol M. 18. Kunicki M. 23. Napieraj K. (G) 5. Pawlik M. 15. Proczek T. 77. Romanowski P. 22. Tabara K.	39. Biniek D. 10. Karasek K. 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 13. Kubica K. 5. Matyjewicz W. 99. Mleczko M. (G) 53. Trubeha A. 6. Wolski M. 12. Wrobel J. 17. Zaviyskyi T.
Coaches
Szoka G.	Brosz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 0 - 1, Zapolnik K. ⚽,
69', Kopacz B. 🟨,
70', Stanclik D. ↓, Tabara K. ↑,
70', Kazimierczak A. ↓, Majewski R. ↑,
76', Hilbrycht D. 🟨,
77', Kendzia F. 🟨,
79', Fassbender M. ↓, Trubeha A. ↑,
79', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Wolski M. ↑,
82', Borecki M. ↓, Pawlik M. ↑,
82', Sokol D. ↓, Proczek T. ↑,
82', Moskwik P. ↓, Romanowski P. ↑,
84', Strzalek I. ↓, Biniek D. ↑,
84', Isik G. ↓, Zaviyskyi T. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Znicz is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Termalica is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Znicz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Termalica will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Znicz won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Znicz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 1
12.04.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Znicz Pruszków	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Znicz Pruszków - Odra Opole	2:1 ✺
04.04.25	Chrobry Głogów - Znicz Pruszków	3:2 ✺
28.03.25	Znicz Pruszków - Warta Poznań	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Znicz Pruszków	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLTT
- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Division 1
14.04.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Polonia Warsaw	0:3 ✺
10.04.25	ŁKS Łódź - Termalica Nieciecza	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Stal Rzeszów	3:1 ✺
30.03.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Termalica Nieciecza	3:3 ✺
15.03.25	Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Tychy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
06.10.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Znicz Pruszków	1:2
08.03.24	Znicz Pruszków - Termalica Nieciecza	2:0
27.08.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Znicz Pruszków	1:0
Polish Cup
12.08.14	Znicz Pruszków - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1

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