Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 29

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza (Nieciecza) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	12:15	Arena Sport 5
Canada	06:15	beIN Connect
Croatia	12:15	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Finland	13:15	Veikkaus TV
Poland	12:15	CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	06:15	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Termalica Nieciecza		Wisła Płock

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.58	3.4	2.52
	2.71	3.62	2.6
	2.65	3.62	2.54	Watch
	2.63	3.3	2.4
	2.83	3.41	2.46	Watch
	2.54	3.21	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.54)	3.41 ↑ (3.21)	2.48 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Termalica Nieciecza
35.2%

Draw
27.3%

Wisła Płock
37.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.8%

27.6%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

27.3%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Termalica Nieciecza - Wisła Płock Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Wisła Płock will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła Płock: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wisła Płock (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chovan A. (G) 32. Matysik M. 5. Masoero L. 77. Putivtsev A. (C) 27. Boboc R. 23. Guerrero S. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 21. Hilbrycht D. 7. Fassbender M. 25. Zapolnik K. 9. Jimenez J.	12. Leszczynski R. (G) 4. Haglind-Sangre M. 35. Kaminski M. (C) 25. Mijuskovic N. 21. Rogelj Z. 14. Kun D. 88. Savvidis K. 8. Pacheco D. 19. Gallapeni D. 9. Niarchos G. 30. Nowak W.
Substitutes
17. Biniek D. 19. Durdov I. 29. Isik G. 26. Jakubik W. 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 8. Kurzawa R. 99. Mleczko M. (G) 86. Strzalek I. 53. Trubeha A. 6. Wolski M.	37. Bokhno M. 27. Borowski B. 26. Burek J. (G) 2. Custovic K. 17. Djalo M. 16. Hiszpanski F. 13. Lecoeuche Q. 6. Pomorski K. 66. Salvador I. 18. Sarapata D. 20. Sekulski L. 84. Tavares T.
Coaches
Brosz M.	Misiura M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', Guerrero S. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Nowak W. ⚽, Kun D. (A),
39', 0 - 2, Rogelj Z. ⚽, Pacheco D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 0 - 3, Niarchos G. ⚽, Gallapeni D. (A),
57', Putivtsev A. ↓, Kasperkiewicz A. ↑,
57', Fassbender M. ↓, Strzalek I. ↑,
57', Jimenez J. ↓, Durdov I. ↑,
61', Gallapeni D. ↓, Lecoeuche Q. ↑,
61', Kun D. ↓, Custovic K. ↑,
67', Guerrero S. ↓, Biniek D. ↑,
69', Niarchos G. ↓, Sarapata D. ↑,
69', Savvidis K. ↓, Tavares T. ↑,
80', Biniek D. 🟨,
88', 1 - 3, Zapolnik K. ⚽, Hilbrycht D. (A),
90+2', Pacheco D. ↓, Bokhno M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 1.

Termalica has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wisła Płock's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Termalica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Termalica: Kopacz B. (Inactive) Kurzawa R. (Inactive) Wolski M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Wisła Płock: Karamarko M. (Knee Injury) Salvador I. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Wisla Plock	11	4	2	5	10:16	-6	14

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Wisla Plock: 0.68%

Last Results with these Odds

Wisła Płock - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 37.63%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.04.26	Widzew Łódź - Termalica Nieciecza	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Piast Gliwice	3:2 ✺
22.03.26	Lech Poznań - Termalica Nieciecza	4:1 ✺
13.03.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Motor Lublin	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Korona Kielce - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLL
- Wisła Płock
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.04.26	Wisła Płock - Lechia Gdańsk	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	GKS Katowice - Wisła Płock	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Wisła Płock	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Cracovia - Wisła Płock	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Wisła Płock - Arka Gdynia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
20.10.25	Wisła Płock - Termalica Nieciecza	3:1
Polish Division 1
10.03.25	Wisła Płock - Termalica Nieciecza	3:0
21.08.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Wisła Płock	4:2
02.03.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Wisła Płock	2:2
19.08.23	Wisła Płock - Termalica Nieciecza	3:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.05.22	Termalica Nieciecza - Wisła Płock	1:0
05.11.21	Wisła Płock - Termalica Nieciecza	1:1

Upcoming Matches