Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 24

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Podhale Nowy Targ		Avia Świdnik

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.8	3.4
	1.79	3.8	3.55
	1.8	3.95	3.57	Watch
	1.84	3.83	3.48	Watch
	1.79	3.8	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.78)	3.84 ↓ (3.86)	3.51 ↓ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podhale Nowy Targ
50.5%

Draw
23.7%

Avia Świdnik
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

23.6%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

22.8%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podhale Nowy Targ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Avia Świdnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avia Świdnik than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Podhale Nowy Targ - Avia Świdnik Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Seweryn L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 1 - 1, Remenyuk A. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 1, Vaclavik R. (Pen),
90+5', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Podhale won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Avia Świdnik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Podhale have a series of home games.

In this match Podhale is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Podhale won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:15 (average 1.3:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Podhale won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1.2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
29.03.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Star Starachowice	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:3 ✺
08.03.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Wiślanie Skawina	4:0 ✺
01.03.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Wiązownica	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWW
- Avia Świdnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
30.03.25	Avia Świdnik - Star Starachowice	1:3 ✺
26.03.25	Avia Świdnik - Chełmianka Chełm	2:3 ✺
22.03.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Avia Świdnik	1:2 ✺
19.03.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Avia Świdnik	3:2 ✺
15.03.25	Avia Świdnik - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
07.09.24	Avia Świdnik - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:1
30.03.24	Avia Świdnik - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:0
02.09.23	Podhale Nowy Targ - Avia Świdnik	1:6
11.03.23	Avia Świdnik - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:1
13.08.22	Podhale Nowy Targ - Avia Świdnik	0:1
26.03.22	Avia Świdnik - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:2
21.08.21	Podhale Nowy Targ - Avia Świdnik	1:0

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