Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group IV - Round 22

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	Podhale Nowy Targ		Star Starachowice

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.6	3.25
	1.87	3.75	3.35
	1.85	3.9	3.43	Watch
	1.84	3.66	3.54
	1.87	3.75	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.87)	3.73 ↓ (3.75)	3.38 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podhale Nowy Targ
48.8%

Draw
24.3%

Star Starachowice
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

24.3%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

24%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podhale Nowy Targ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Star Starachowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Star Starachowice than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Podhale Nowy Targ - Star Starachowice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, Rubis J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 6).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Star Starachowice could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Podhale will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Podhale won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Podhale won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
15.03.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:3 ✺
08.03.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Wiślanie Skawina	4:0 ✺
01.03.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Wiązownica	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.02.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:4 ✺
29.01.25	Hutnik - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWWWW
- Star Starachowice
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
14.03.25	Star Starachowice - Wiślanie Skawina	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Star Starachowice	1:3 ✺
28.02.25	Star Starachowice - Unia Tarnów	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.02.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Star Starachowice	1:4 ✺
31.01.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Star Starachowice	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
24.08.24	Star Starachowice - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:0
05.08.23	Star Starachowice - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:1

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