Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 32

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday


	Podhale Nowy Targ		Czarni Połaniec

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	5.5
	1.39	4.7	5.8
	1.42	4.75	5.5
	1.42	4.78	5.66	Watch
	1.37	4.75	6.31	Watch
	1.39	4.7	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.54)	4.7 ↑ (4.3)	5.76 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podhale Nowy Targ
64.9%

Draw
19.3%

Czarni Połaniec
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

21.3%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

22.4%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podhale Nowy Targ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Podhale Nowy Targ's performance.

Czarni Połaniec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Czarni Połaniec than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Podhale Nowy Targ - Czarni Połaniec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Giel P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 2 - 0, Niedzialkowski M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Podhale won 2.

In recent matches, Podhale has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Czarni Połaniec is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Czarni Połaniec has had a series of home games.

In this match, Podhale is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Podhale won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Podhale won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
21.05.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Podhale Nowy Targ	3:2 ✺
16.05.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Wisła II Kraków	4:2 ✺
10.05.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:2 ✺
03.05.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTWL
- Czarni Połaniec
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
21.05.25	Czarni Połaniec - Wisła II Kraków	3:0 ✺
17.05.25	Czarni Połaniec - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	3:1 ✺
09.05.25	Czarni Połaniec - Wisłoka Dębica	3:1 ✺
03.05.25	Avia Świdnik - Czarni Połaniec	3:3 ✺
26.04.25	Czarni Połaniec - Star Starachowice	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
31.10.24	Czarni Połaniec - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:2
08.06.24	Czarni Połaniec - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:0
18.11.23	Podhale Nowy Targ - Czarni Połaniec	1:1
19.03.23	Podhale Nowy Targ - Czarni Połaniec	2:3
17.08.22	Czarni Połaniec - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:2
12.06.22	Podhale Nowy Targ - Czarni Połaniec	2:2
06.11.21	Czarni Połaniec - Podhale Nowy Targ	5:2

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