Match Info

Division 1 - Round 5

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Boisko ul. Pilkarska 8 (Bytom)

Referee: Krumplewski D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Polonia Bytom		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.60	2.90
	2.05	3.50	3.10
	2.04	3.40	3.00
	2.10	3.74	3.26
	1.98	3.84	3.36	Watch
	2.07	3.70	3.20
	1.98	3.54	3.21
	2.03	3.45	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.98)	3.6 ↓ (3.79)	3.13 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Bytom
45.1%

Draw
25.5%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

24.7%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

25.3%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Bytom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-2%)

Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banasik W. (G) 77. Szymanski J. 30. Krzyzak O. 17. Wolkowicz K. 6. Wolski M. 25. Konieczny D. 8. Labojko M. 7. Zielinski L. 5. Mioc B. 9. Wojtyra K. 11. Andrzejczak K.	1. Kaminski K. (G) 2. Glogowski K. 3. Dembek B. 4. Korczakowski I. 7. Jedrasik J. 9. Majewski R. 10. Jaron D. (C) 15. Niski N. 17. Niewiadomski J. 21. Los K. 23. Ciepiela B.
Substitutes
13. Gajgier A. 21. Kadziolka S. 20. Labedzki J. 35. Mazur K. (G) 10. Michalski K. 19. Rumin D. 16. Stefanski P. 14. Szymusik G. 26. Wziech M.	25. Glacel M. (G) 8. Gulczynski G. 11. Kargulewicz K. 27. Konstantyn J. 99. Koprowski O. 6. Krupa J. 20. Oshafi A. 19. Turski H. 42. Zbrog J.
Coaches
Gerega K.	Kafarski T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Los K. ⚽, Ciepiela B. (A),
28', 1 - 1, Zielinski L. ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, Wolski M. ⚽, Zielinski L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 2 - 2, Majewski R. ⚽,
52', Krzyzak O. 🟨,
64', Korczakowski I. 🟨,
66', Jaron D. ↓, Oshafi A. ↑,
71', Labojko M. 🟨,
72', Niski N. ↓, Zbrog J. ↑,
72', Majewski R. ↓, Turski H. ↑,
72', Korczakowski I. ↓, Kargulewicz K. ↑,
73', Wojtyra K. ↓, Rumin D. ↑,
76', Los K. 🟨,
79', Andrzejczak K. ↓, Wziech M. ↑,
79', Wolski M. ↓, Stefanski P. ↑,
90+4', Konieczny D. 🟨,

Preview

Polonia Bytom has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Grodzisk Mazowiecki is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Polonia Bytom may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Polonia Bytom could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Polonia Bytom won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Polonia Bytom won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Polonia Bytom: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Polonia Bytom	9	1	6	2	14:17	-3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 1
16.08.26	Stal Mielec - Polonia Bytom	5:2 ✺
07.08.26	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Siedlce	2:2 ✺
31.07.26	ŁKS Łódź - Polonia Bytom	2:1 ✺
24.07.26	Polonia Bytom - Warta Poznań	4:3 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Opava - Polonia Bytom	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LTLWL
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 1
14.08.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Stal Rzeszów	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
28.02.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Polonia Bytom	2:1
20.08.25	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:0
Polish Division 2
16.11.24	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:1
20.07.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Polonia Bytom	2:0

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