Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group IV - Round 18

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday


	Podhale Nowy Targ		Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.4	4.7
	1.49	4.52	5.11	Watch
	1.48	4.4	5.1
	1.52	4.4	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.37)	4.43 ↓ (4.75)	4.9 ↓ (6.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podhale Nowy Targ
60.8%

Draw
20.6%

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

19.1%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

18.3%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podhale Nowy Targ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Podhale Nowy Targ's form might have worsened.

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Podhale Nowy Targ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Podhale Nowy Targ - Pogoń Sokół Lubaczów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Marcinho ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, Salak K. ⚽,
55', 3 - 0, Kurzeja B. ⚽,
60', 4 - 0, Salak K. ⚽,
67', 4 - 1, Majda O. ⚽,
89', 5 - 1, Giel P. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
16.11.24	Lewart Lubartów - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:2 ✺
09.11.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Unia Tarnów	3:0 ✺
31.10.24	Czarni Połaniec - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Chełmianka Chełm	3:2 ✺
19.10.24	Wisła II Kraków - Podhale Nowy Targ	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWL
- Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
16.11.24	Unia Tarnów - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	0:3 ✺
09.11.24	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Chełmianka Chełm	1:6 ✺
02.11.24	Korona Kielce 2 - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:5 ✺
20.10.24	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
04.08.24	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:3

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