Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 30

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Korona Kielce 2		Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.6	2.82
	2.02	3.58	2.97
	2.05	3.73	2.96	Watch
	2.1	3.3	2.88
	2.05	3.58	2.99	Watch
	2.17	3.47	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.17)	3.54 ↑ (3.47)	2.88 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Korona Kielce 2
43.3%

Draw
25.4%

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

25.5%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

23.9%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korona Kielce 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce 2 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Korona Kielce 2 - Pogoń Sokół Lubaczów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Majda O. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Ciszek K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
78', 2 - 1, Tobola K. ⚽,
90', Ozieblo M. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 1, Kucharczyk K. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 11).

Korona 2 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lubaczów's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lubaczów may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Korona 2 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Korona 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Korona Kielce II	11	3	2	6	23:27	-4	11
18	Lubaczow	11	2	1	8	11:21	-10	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Korona Kielce 2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
01.05.26	Wisła II Kraków - Korona Kielce 2	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Korona Kielce 2	4:1 ✺
17.04.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Naprzód Jędrzejów	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Korona Kielce 2	0:0 ✺
02.04.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Star Starachowice	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWTW
- Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
03.05.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:3 ✺
26.04.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Wisłoka Dębica	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
18.10.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Korona Kielce 2	0:0
25.05.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Korona Kielce 2	2:2
02.11.24	Korona Kielce 2 - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	2:1

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