The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Feniks-Mariupol 36.2%
Draw 29.3%
Metalist Kharkiv 34.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.7%
28.1%
44.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.2%
27.6%
43.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Feniks-Mariupol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Feniks-Mariupol's performance.
Metalist Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metalist Kharkiv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feniks-Mariupol than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Feniks-Mariupol that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metalist Kharkiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
50%
33.3%
Feniks Mariupol - Metalist Kharkiv Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Feniks-Mariupol will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Metalist will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zhupanskyi V. (G) 39. Balan D. 14. Bilyi R. 90. Bogdanov A. (C) 44. Koreshkov V. 84. Kusyi A. 7. Nepeypiev R. 8. Panchyshyn O. 29. Remenyak A. 33. Sydorenko V. 17. Yanchak V.
25. Rybak V. (C) 10. Bagachanskyi M. 24. Fedoriv V. 19. Kaydalov D. 7. Lutsiv P. 9. Lutsiv V. 2. Mizyuk O. 98. Orikhovskyi M. 38. Palyanychka K. 5. Pidruchnyi D. 6. Teplyakov D.
Substitutes
4. Boldenkov V. 25. Gorin V. 77. Kovalyuk R. 66. Melnyk O. 9. Nych N. 20. Orobets I. 32. Petko S. 15. Revakovych R. 13. Rogachov N. 21. Tkachuk A. 19. Vilkhovyi A. 55. Zadereyko A. (G)
47. Andreev R. 21. Goryainov O. 39. Gryshchenko I. 35. Pletnyov P. (G) 17. Prykhodko D. 48. Prymak D. 32. Shakhmayev M. 40. Shevchenko M. 41. Smatko A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Lutsiv V. ⚽,
33', Bogdanov A. ↓, Orobets I. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nepeypiev R. ↓, Nych N. ↑,
55', Koreshkov V. 🟨,
59', Koreshkov V. ↓, Melnyk O. ↑,
59', Yanchak V. ↓, Vilkhovyi A. ↑,
60', Orikhovskyi M. ↓, Prykhodko D. ↑,
69', Lutsiv P. 🟨,
80', Kaydalov D. ↓, Shakhmayev M. ↑,
83', Nych N. ↓, Revakovych R. ↑,
86', Lutsiv V. ↓, Goryainov O. ↑,
87', Palyanychka K. 🟨,
88', Bilyi R. 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+2', Fedoriv V. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Metalist may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Feniks-Mariupol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
Including home match between the teams, Feniks-Mariupol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.