Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 28

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Sport Complex Podillia (Khmelnytskyi)


	Podillya Khmelnytskyi		Nyva Ternopil

	1	X	2
	4	3.7	1.66
	3.75	3.45	1.85
	3.21	3.93	1.79
	3.69	3.36	1.93	Watch
	3.9	3.75	1.67
	4.1	3.34	1.79
	3.47	3.14	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.58)	3.52 ↑ (3.25)	1.8 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podillya Khmelnytskyi
24.2%

Draw
25.6%

Nyva Ternopil
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

27.8%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

26%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podillya Khmelnytskyi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Nyva Ternopil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podillya Khmelnytskyi than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nyva Ternopil than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nyva Ternopil, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Nyva Ternopil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Ponomarenko I. (G) 88. Baran R. 6. Bezruchuk O. 7. Kvasov Y. 21. Rudyuk V. 28. Ryazantsev Y. 35. Savin A. (C) 27. Serbinov D. 11. Shershen V. 19. Shkinder V. 77. Snizhko O.	34. Olkhovyi I. (C) 32. Bidzinskyi B. 94. Burtnyk V. 44. Davydov S. 35. Demyanchuk A. 70. Dudik A. 21. Gerega O. 11. Mykhalchuk M. 27. Mykhayliv V. 10. Palamarchuk I. 91. Rezepov D.
Substitutes
17. Demchenko A. 4. Herasymchuk D. 99. Kondratyuk J. (G) 5. Lys N. 9. Perekhodko M. 33. Yurchuk V. (G) 22. Zayets S.	14. Bats M. 30. Galas T. 7. Mudryi M. 45. Napuda V. 96. Pach Y. 17. Pezhynskyi M. 18. Posyevkin R. 64. Romaniuk V. 23. Sharun V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
84', 0 - 1, Palamarchuk I. ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 2, Pezhynskyi M. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, Perekhodko M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Podillya won 3.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Nyva T could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Podillya won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Podillya won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Nyva Ternopil	10	2	5	3	9:9	0	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Ukrainian Persha Liga
09.05.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:2 ✺
24.04.26	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Chernihiv	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLTT
- Nyva Ternopil
Ukrainian Persha Liga
09.05.26	Nyva Ternopil - Feniks-Mariupol	0:3 ✺
02.05.26	Nyva Ternopil - Metalist Kharkiv	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Nyva Ternopil	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Nyva Ternopil - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Chernihiv - Nyva Ternopil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
24.10.25	Nyva Ternopil - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:1
16.11.24	Nyva Ternopil - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	2:1
21.09.24	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Nyva Ternopil	1:0
10.11.23	Nyva Ternopil - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:0
10.09.23	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Nyva Ternopil	2:0
Ukrainian Cup
02.08.23	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Nyva Ternopil	0:1 penalties
Ukrainian Persha Liga
04.09.21	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Nyva Ternopil	1:1

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