Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 33

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Poggibonsi		Follonica Gavorrano

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.85	2.65
	2.8	2.37	3.1
	3.21	1.98	3.45
	2.85	2.43	3.08
	2.63	2.75	2.75
	2.8	2.37	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.55)	2.46 ↓ (2.88)	3.02 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poggibonsi
32.6%

Draw
37.1%

Follonica Gavorrano
30.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.4%

31.3%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

31.1%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poggibonsi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Follonica Gavorrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Poggibonsi - Follonica Gavorrano Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Poggibonsi won 1.

Recent matches Poggibonsi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Follonica Gavorrano is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Follonica Gavorrano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Poggibonsi won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:16 (average 1.4:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Poggibonsi won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:8 (average 2.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poggibonsi
Italian Serie D - Group E
17.04.25	Figline - Poggibonsi	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Poggibonsi - Terranuova Traiana	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	SanGiovanniValdarno - Poggibonsi	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Poggibonsi - Flaminia Civita Castellana	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Livorno - Poggibonsi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WLLLW
- Follonica Gavorrano
Italian Serie D - Group E
17.04.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Orvietana	1:4 ✺
12.04.25	Siena - Follonica Gavorrano	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Ghiviborgo	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	San Donato Tavarnelle - Follonica Gavorrano	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Montevarchi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
15.12.24	Follonica Gavorrano - Poggibonsi	2:0
26.11.23	Follonica Gavorrano - Poggibonsi	2:0
14.05.23	Poggibonsi - Follonica Gavorrano	2:1
05.02.23	Poggibonsi - Follonica Gavorrano	4:4
02.10.22	Follonica Gavorrano - Poggibonsi	2:1
28.05.22	Poggibonsi - Follonica Gavorrano	4:2
03.04.22	Poggibonsi - Follonica Gavorrano	2:1

Poggibonsi - Follonica Gavorrano