Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Poggibonsi		Terranuova Traiana

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.05	2.58
	2.53	3.08	2.68	Watch
	2.5	2.88	2.63
	2.53	2.99	2.61
	2.45	3.1	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.4)	3.02 ↓ (3.4)	2.64 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poggibonsi
36%

Draw
29.9%

Terranuova Traiana
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

26.3%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

26.3%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poggibonsi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Terranuova Traiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Terranuova Traiana than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Poggibonsi - Terranuova Traiana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 0 - 1, Tassi L. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Poggibonsi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Terranuova Traiana is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Terranuova Traiana could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poggibonsi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Poggibonsi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Terranuova Traiana	6	2	2	2	11:9	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poggibonsi
Italian Serie D - Group E
21.12.25	Scandicci - Poggibonsi	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Poggibonsi - Cannara	3:2 ✺
07.12.25	Tau Altopascio - Poggibonsi	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Poggibonsi - Camaiore	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Orvietana - Poggibonsi	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWLLL
- Terranuova Traiana
Italian Serie D - Group E
21.12.25	Orvietana - Terranuova Traiana	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Terranuova Traiana - Tau Altopascio	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Camaiore - Terranuova Traiana	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Terranuova Traiana - Montevarchi	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Trestina - Terranuova Traiana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
07.09.25	Terranuova Traiana - Poggibonsi	2:0
13.04.25	Poggibonsi - Terranuova Traiana	0:1
01.12.24	Terranuova Traiana - Poggibonsi	0:1
05.03.23	Poggibonsi - Terranuova Traiana	2:3
29.10.22	Terranuova Traiana - Poggibonsi	0:3

Poggibonsi - Terranuova Traiana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide