Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 24

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki		Jagiellonia II Białystok

	1	X	2
	1.21	5.25	12
	1.19	6.3	10.5	Watch
	1.25	5.5	7.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.45)	5.68 ↑ (4.2)	10.08 ↑ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
74.9%

Draw
16%

Jagiellonia II Białystok
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

21.4%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

20.7%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's performance.

Jagiellonia II Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jagiellonia II Białystok might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jagiellonia II Białystok could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 🟥,
31', 1 - 0, Odolak K. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, Jaron D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 3 - 0, Sommerfeld K. ⚽,
85', 4 - 0, Lis J. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 4.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Jagiellonia II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
30.03.24	Legionovia Legionowo - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:3 ✺
23.03.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Wikielec	5:0 ✺
16.03.24	Warta Sieradz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Victoria Sulejówek	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	ŁKS Łomża - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWL
- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.03.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Unia Skierniewice	2:3 ✺
23.03.24	Pilica Białobrzegi - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Mławianka Mława - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Concordia Elbląg	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.09.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:2
29.04.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:1
24.09.22	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2
11.06.21	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	6:0
01.05.21	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:3
07.11.20	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:1

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